reply to post by WestPoint23
You are pretty much claiming, that nomatter how many times an enemy has tried, just because of some past failures, that it will fail again.
No offense, but I find that sort of attitude as being a bit naive, and simply underestimating an enemy just because of some past failures.
Underestimating enemies in the history of mankind has cost many nations the lives of many people, and even their entire civilization.
Anyway, here is an excerpt from the Union of Concerned Scientists about the Unha-2 platform, which is different from the previous platforms used by NK
to launch their missiles.
Analysis of the Unha-2. Combining this information with results of analyses of past tests and computer modeling of the launcher allows us to
develop a fairly detailed understanding of the Unha-2. While some uncertainties in missile parameters remain, calculations using this model of the
launcher are consistent with all of the known data about the launch and show that it could have placed a satellite with a mass of a few hundred
kilograms into orbit at about an altitude of 500 kilometers.
The Unha-2 launcher was expected to be a three-stage variant of the Taepodong-2 missile that North Korea began developing in the 1990s but has never
successfully launched. We conclude from our analysis that the second and third stages of the launcher represent significantly more advanced technology
than North Korea has launched in the past. We believe that its extremely unlikely that these technologies were indigenously produced by North
Korea.
Pyongyang has released a video showing the launcher shortly before and during launch; these pictures allowed us to determine the relative sizes of the
launcher's stages. Assuming the first-stage diameter is 2.4 meters, which is the diameter that has long been discussed for the first stage of the
Taepodong-2 missile, fixes the rest of the dimensions. These are shown here PDF. Based on the dimensions of the stages, we can estimate their masses
using estimates of the structure mass and the density of the propellant.
Overall, the launcher has a length of roughly 30 meters and a mass of 80-85 metric tons. We believe the first stage uses a cluster of four Nodong
engines housed in a single missile casing and sharing a common fuel tank. The Nodong engine is essentially a scaled-up version of the engine used in
the Soviet Scud-B missile. This engine is likely of Russian origin.
www.thebulletin.org...
Here is the entire pdf. research article form the Union of Concerned Scientists.
www.ucsusa.org...
Underestimating an enemy is always dangerous. More so when such an enemy is as crazy as Kim, and has the help of other countries, such as Russia, and
China, which are "enemies", and not friends like they claim of the U.S.
[edit on 2-7-2009 by ElectricUniverse]