Originally posted by Essan
The odds are about the same as a those of a a fire drill being held somewhere in the City on the same day a fire occurs somewhere in the City
I'd really like to know how you worked that out. There are fires and fire drills
every week in a city the size of Loindon. Terrorist attacks
are much rarer, let alone terrorist attacks that cause massive disruption and loss of life. I can think of only two other terrorist attacks over the
past few years, the Soho nail-bombing and the IRA bomb attack on Victoria Station.
If you can come up with a statistical analysis that demonstrates the accuracy of what you're saying, please do, I'd love to see it.
The only coincidence is that both the Crisis Management guy and the terrorists had the same ideas as to which stations to target for maximum
disruption. Spooky!
No, that's not the only coincidence. It's also a coincidence that the two major terrorist attacks in the UK and US coincided exactly with secret
exercises that were designed to mimic
exactly the kind of atrocity that occurred: it's a coincidence that the then General Manager of London
Underground was connected to the CIA. A few weeks later he melted away. I forget the guy's name, but when I first heard this, shortly after the
attack, I looked it up on the LU website and there he was. As I say, a few weeks later he'd been replaced by someone else with no explanation
It's also a coincidence that it happened on the day of the G8 protests, very handy to defuse dissent and take attention away from the protesters so
Blair could make one of his little speeches about freedom and democracy and standing up to terrorists and all that hooey.
(Presumably other firms holding crisis management exercises that day played out different scenarios - maybe a plane crash? or a spanish 'flu
epidemic? And so didn't get mentioned.)
That argument only works if you can demonstrate how many other firms,
if any, were holding crisis management exercises. Fire drills have to be
held every week by law, even if it's just an alarm going off and nobody moving.
Fires and fire drills are an everyday occurrence. Terrorist attacks are not. That argument, I'm afraid, is deeply flawed.