Why aliens aren't visiting us, page 1
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ATS Members have flagged this thread 7 times
Topic started on 24-6-2009 @ 04:55 AM by Astyanax
People who believe in alien visitors to Earth don't like Enrico Fermi, the brilliant physicist who, one day at Los Alamos in the middle of the Manhattan Project, found time at lunch to ask 'so, where is everybody?' and then proceeded to answer the question himself.

Fermi speculated... that the age of the universe, as well as its size, meant that there should be a number of advanced societies keeping Earth company, in a galactic sense. Growth of these civilizations would be exponential, Fermi implied, and therefore if they existed, we would have encountered them already. Ergo, advanced alien societies must not exist, since their expansion hasn't brought them into the range of our detection. Source

That was Fermi's conclusion: that there are no aliens, at least none within range.

Nowadays, we find it hard to believe that we are alone in the universe. We know that lots of stars - perhaps the majority - have planets. We believe that, given the odds, intelligent life-forms must have evolved on many of these planets.

Yet still the skies (for everyone but UFO buffs) remain discouragingly empty.

Obviously, massive astronomical distances don't help. Plugging very generous numbers into the Drake equation gives an average separation of about 200 light-years between intelligent civilizations in the Galaxy. But we should still have picked something up - an alien radio transmission, perhaps.

Now (see the above link) comes news that the problem may be one of limited resources. It appears that civilizations probably can't expand exponentially in space. Fermi's assumption was wrong.

So no alien visitors.

And - worse still - no galactic empires for mankind, either. We can no more expand our presence in space exponentially than aliens can.

Looks like it's going to be a long wait for ET, one way or another.


reply posted on 24-6-2009 @ 08:24 AM by atlasastro
reply to post by Astyanax



Hi Astyanax,
S&F for a nice thread.
I personally feel that a belief in ET's, at the moment resembles religion, just updated with a new face that science and technology deem possible, which in the case of more abstract religious figures is much more difficult to do.
That aside, I never hear anyone ever entertain the thought that we may infact be the first life as we know it, actually existing in the universe. This would also put us first in space etc.
More life may exist, we all can accept that. But it could be that it is just us at the moment, the first of more to come perhaps?

Nice nod to Fermi. Lots of people love Drake, for obvious reasons. Support for beliefs and all. Fermi Paradox


reply posted on 24-6-2009 @ 11:16 AM by Dermo
reply to post by DohBama



How would you know this for a fact?

An alien race could have evolved at ten times the rate we have and could have technology for sniffing out life across the vast distances along with technology that allows them to travel millions of light years instantaneously..

Or have created a team of probes that sniff out life across the galaxy like ourselves... except 400 years more advanced..

Or be exactly the same as us..

I like to think that we have had some contact with other intelligent life & definitely some form of ET life.. there is a lot of unexplained phenomenon when it comes to the subject of UFO's and the evidence there to support them.

My point is really, we could never know unless we have had direct contact with them.. And our governments would not be able to tell us because the majority of the world would not be able to handle it and the world would collapse economically in a matter of days..



reply posted on 24-6-2009 @ 02:20 PM by Sentry-
Originally posted by Astyanax
Fermi speculated... that the age of the universe, as well as its size, meant that there should be a number of advanced societies keeping Earth company, in a galactic sense. Growth of these civilizations would be exponential, Fermi implied, and therefore if they existed, we would have encountered them already. Ergo, advanced alien societies must not exist, since their expansion hasn't brought them into the range of our detection. Source



So this is your proof that we are not being visited? REALLY? He is right, the universe would be full of life. But how do you know we have not encountered them before in our past? Evidence shows we have. However, even if we have never encountered them in our past till the present, maybe it is because they do not want to be seen. Perhaps we are not ready, perhaps there is a rule for them not to intervene with an evolving race? How can we know? All we do know is that there certainly are unexplainable things going on in this world, and if you do enough reasearch the evidenve will be clear, something is going on here beyond our traditional understandings.

Also, you cite a single man as proof that we are not being visited, but do not cite the dozens of others that state their reasoning on why they think we are being visited. Is this man above all others now? Is a man who believes we are not being visited given more approval than one who says we are? I hope that we are all not to that level of ignorance.


reply posted on 24-6-2009 @ 05:32 PM by pitchdragon
reply to post by DohBama



in 1890 a man Clément Ader make the first fly betwen france and britain ,one year before another man say to him you dont have the technology to traverse the distances, now you can buy a ticket and you can go country to country, imagine the face of the same man if we had talked about cloning


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