theres obviously some professionals out there that knew of his condition and would be able to give a solid ballpark estimate of the percentage chance he is still alive and what not. Its definately fishy if theres evidence its 70+% likely hes been dead for a while.

I sat there's a good chance he's dead. I'd say 90%. Between the constant bombing and fighting from the US, UK, and other allies and his known health condition which requires regular dialysis, I think he's toast.

Of course, it's not just the U.S. that has interest in keeping him alive as the perpetual boogeyman to keep the wars and war industries going. The Taliban and Al Qaeda need him as "their invincible hero, whom even the mighty U.S, and all their might cannot kill" that helps rally support.

Both sides have every interest in keeping the myth of him alive, so it is highly unlikely that he will officially "die" anytime soon. He is far too valuable on both sides.