Correct me if I am wrong here but to respond to those who are saying this only killed 141 people or my immune system will fight it off:
My understanding is one of the reasons its being considered a pandemic is how easily it is transmitted to each other.
So lets say the normal flue infects 1,000,000 and .5 percent are killed by it thats 50,000 people.
Since this swine flu strain is so easily transmitted it could infect *lets say* 10 times the same number of people 10,000,000 and it has the same
mortality rate of .5 percent that means it could kill 500,000 people Isn't that the issue? The number infected can be a lot higher so the number of
deaths will be much higher.
Also, its my understanding that with this flu, like the 1918 flu, what kills you is your immune system going into overdrive, so if you are young and
healthy you are actually *more* at risk. (unlike the normal flu that kills people at risk/ lowered immune system)
Finally, it also may mutate which could cause the mortality rate to be higher. So if the number of infections is high and the mortality rate is higher
than the normal flu you have a real problem.
Lastly travel being restricted at this point would be irrelevant because its already traveled around the world so closing borders would not help
My points are
1) higher infection rate causing more people to be infected, causing the normal death rate to climb given the same mortality rate.
2) a good immune system is a bad thing in this case.
3) the possibility of a mutation causing the mortality rate to be higher as well.
Am I wrong in this?
edited to correct numbers
[edit on 12-6-2009 by deepwoods]