It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by ahnggk
Manufacturers are actually forcing themselves to conform to Moore's law, thus we now have multi-core processors!! It's partly a prophecy but mostly a manufacturer's goal. I think it's no longer a prophetic vision but a manufacturing standard!
I have to disagree though that these are bright days for humanity. I know technology very intimately but high tech only serves to dumb people down unfortunately. Yes we have the internet but look at what most are using the internet for! It's nothing but mindless chatters . We don't even try to ponder what goes under the hood.
The observation made in 1965 by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, that the number of transistors per square inch on integrated circuits had doubled every year since the integrated circuit was invented. Moore predicted that this trend would continue for the foreseeable future. In subsequent years, the pace slowed down a bit, but data density has doubled approximately every 18 months, and this is the current definition of Moore's Law, which Moore himself has blessed. Most experts, including Moore himself, expect Moore's Law to hold for at least another two decades.
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way—in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only.
Originally posted by miragezero
Originally posted by Leo Strauss
S&F Thanks for the post.
As with all science it is a dual edged sword. I see no great advantage nor disadvantage to "progress".
You don't see an advantage to genetics making aging obsolete?
Or that nanotechnology will be able to destroy disease and optimize your biology and/or replace it alltogether by building it molecule by molecule?
Or that increasing intelligence either using genetics or technology (or both) will allow for more progress faster to become smarter faster so on and so forth until the world completely changes and we solve our problems... :-)
Originally posted by Leo Strauss
Science has always been held up by some as the savior of mankind. It is a nice dream and I commend you for being on the right side of the sword, so to speak.
But to discount evil is very naive. Humankind has proven over and over again that some will succumb to their lower instincts and end your dream.
William Burroughs - Humans are a virus on the earth and will soon destroy themselves in an orgy of cannibalism. Not a quote but the gist! For every so called advance in science and technology there has been equal counterbalance of decline for our species. Call it Taoism or "Life Out of Balance"
I think the earth will shake us off just like the dinosaurs. Unless of course the aliens ride in on white horses and save our sorry species! Out with a whimper is my prediction.
Originally posted by Evasius
Intro from "A Tale of Two Cities:"
That's as relevant now as the period about which it was written. If you view the '2 cities' as the Past and the Future coming together in the Singularity, it takes on a new and heavy meaning for us all as we accelerate down the path of change.
[edit on 12/6/09 by Evasius]
Originally posted by whiteraven
Stupid question...lets say they came up with a very small device that a person could use via his "thoughts" to search for information...sort of like a "FUTURE google" but internal, and this device is powered in the same way as a pacemaker, so the device could be implanted at birth......would this system eventualy become a self enforcing system in the same way Moores Law is?
Originally posted by audas
Originally posted by skeptic_al
Originally posted by rapinbatsisaltherage
reply to post by Karlhungis
"Predictions are that by 2049 a $1000 computer will exceed computational capabilities of the entire human species". Wow, there are so many pros and cons to this. I'm amazed, excited, and horrified.
Even today's computers with all their speed and power can not
think and therefore are no more Intelligent than a cockroach.
They can only do what the original programmers had anticipated,
so by 2049 they are still going to be just calculators, but very fast
calculators. Still a long long way from becoming skynet.
UNfortunately this is not the case - the recent work of Peter Singer in "Wired For War" - thebest work on robots and AI in military evolution ever written and the worlds leading thinker on this issue has been very definite in when AI will be fully introduced - total autonomy will be on the battle field by 2020 - at the VERY LATEST.
By 2013 there will be fully mechanised infantrymen on the field. By 2030 according to Moores Law the average computer will be 100,000,000,000 more powerful than today.
AI equivalent to our own is expected to be delivered by industry by 2013 -
so what would a fully mechanised robot soldier look like ? here you go.....
If Intel's CTO is correct, then man and machine could merge by the year 2050. Justin Rattner said that Intel's research labs are looking at human-machine interfaces and predicts that promising changes could come sooner than expected. For example, did you know that Intel is working on small, shape-shifting robots called "catoms" -- tiny inside the pocket, a million-strong team of micro-robots could one day reassemble into an earpiece, keyboard
I'm wondering about the singularity in terms of furthering the miniaturization of the transistor. If a group of super-smart computers (smarter than human beings) can put their "brains" together, they might be able to solve the problems of miniaturization without us even needing to do anything. Computers designing computers. It makes sense!