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CARLISLE, PA.—By the Pentagon's reckoning, the world in 2018 will be a grim place, with a considerable array of tricky national security threats facing the U.S. military. Multinational corporations, employing increasingly thuggish private security forces, begin to undermine the traditional power of nation-states. Countries vie for scarce natural resources, leading to armed conflict. In the meantime, North Korea launches a southern invasion, disguising two Army corps as groups of refugees fleeing