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The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's predicts a 70% chance of:
* Named storms: 9-14
* Hurricanes: 4-7
* Major hurricanes: 1-3
The other major forecaster in the U.S., the University of Colorado, recently revised down its expectations for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season:
* Named storms: 12
* Hurricanes: 6
* Major hurricanes: 2
Further, the Colorado forecasters predicted the following probabilities that a major hurricane could strike the U.S., all of which are about average for the past century:
* Entire U.S. coastline: 54%
* U.S. East Coast (including peninsula Florida): 32%
* Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas): 31%
* Caribbean: Average
"The big worry this year is not the overall tropical storms that are coming all of the way over from Africa.
They are sudden developments in or own backyard within two to three days of hitting the coastline," said Joe Bastardi, of AccuWeather.