Originally posted by mckyle
As for the Armistice, it's still intact. N.Korea are just just posturing at moment.
[edit on 28-5-2009 by mckyle]
I'm afraid it's not.
N.Korea declared yesterday that compliance with this agreement is no longer their desire.
They have stated that if SK and the U.S. attempts to interfere in any of their shipping they will attack SK.
The only way a country can "un-sign" a document or agreement is through statement of intention to divorce themselves from it. They have stated it,
it is fact.
This is potentially the most dangerous aspect of this entire scenario now. If the U.S. and SK do not stop and search any vessel, their agreement seems
pointless and without any credibility. If they do, NK will have to attack SK, or look foolish and back down on their threat.
Personally, I don't think this will happen.
I am certain that there will be an incident at the border and that it will quickly spiral out of control, and NK will step over the divide into the
They've spent fifty years pulling faces at each other across that border, and now the South is bolstering their defences there if voices from the
villages along that border are to be believed.
I don't think we (outside nations) should be complacent here. We are expecting NK to be posturing for attention and aid, for the world to make
concessions, but NK has spent fifty years building their military, and these new events are happening at such a pace as to indicate that this isn't
merely same-old-story attention seeking.
If they wanted to get attention, they did that with the nuclear test. That is the ultimate attention grabber, nothing else is needed.
Why step further and test rockets, start up the nuclear facility to develop more plutonium, break the armistice...?
Right now they're testing the waters, they know that the world is thinking they're just seeking a deal, and they're using the delay to put the
final touches in place.
But, ultimately, regardless of whether this is posturing or not, something HAS to be done to contain the threat.
If countries are nervous of Iran, and while they are nowhere near this level of capability, it stands to reason that NK should be halted in their
tracks a decade ago!
Bluffing or not, something has to be done now to prevent greater bloodshed later.