posted on May, 22 2009 @ 08:32 AM
Originally posted by JanusFIN
With my knowledge if Israel opens bombing run to Iran - it will cause direct counter attacks from Lebanon, Syria and Iran.
Well, would kind of make sense that if you are planning an attack on a country, and you anticipate an escalated response, that you would probably run
drills simulating that anticipated response- and how to defend against it. On the other hand, they may just be anticipating a coordinated first strike
against them, and drilling accordingly.
What I'm curious about is how they plan on defending against
the Russian fleet in the
Mediterranean- if Russia joins in too. I'm not sure if Russia ever withdrew that fleet- as I recall they were planning on leaving it there for
quite some time.
Recent splits of political opinion on the Iran matter and the West Bank/Gaza issue between Israel and the US are cause for concern. I have no doubt in
my mind that Israel would try a unilateral Iran assault, with plans on nuking any country who dared join a coordinated response- especially Northern
Syria. Lebanon would probably be too close for nukes- as Israel would have to contend with its own nuclear fallout- and the same with Southern
Syria.
Wildcards are Egypt and Turkey, while China would probably hold back until it was really necessary for them to get involved. All I can say is that the
US had better stay as far away as possible from the resulting disaster that will ensue if Israel decides to unilaterally attack Iran. And if this does
happen, Iran had better be real careful who they shoot back at- not assume the US is involved- and make a big mistake attacking the Persian Gulf
fleet.
Said it before and will say it again: Israel had better get used to the idea of Iran having a nuclear energy program. It is their inherent right to do
so, and Israel's best bet is to trust that the IAEA will continue to monitor Iranian nuclear weapons development- as well as Russian oversight in
fueling the reactors. To date there is not enough credible evidence that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons for Israel to attack them. Preemptive strike
doctrine hopefully went out the door with Dubya.