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Originally posted by MemoryShock
The personal commentary ends now.
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Last updated 06 Aug 2009 16:00 UT
SUBJ: IPS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING 09/03
ISSUED AT 06/0509Z AUGUST 2009
BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE.
INCREASED GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED
DUE TO CORONAL HOLE HIGH SPEED WIND STREAM
OUPLED WITH A STRONG SOUTHWARD TURNING IN THE IMF BZ.
FOR 06 AUGUST 2009
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY FORECAST
06 Aug:Quiet to Unsettled
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1593
Issue Time: 2009 Aug 06 0523 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2009 Aug 06 0530 UTC
Valid To: 2009 Aug 06 1600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Well, i believe, the earth in fact isn't round but flat and the magnetosphere is a not what you fine people make us believe what it is. It is the energy of the almighty and trying to explain it is just foolish.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels on day one (19 August) in response to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on day two (20 August) as the CH HSS subsides. Quiet levels are expected on day three (21 August).
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Aug-21 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Minor storm 20/10/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
G 1 Minor Power systems: weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft operations: minor impact on satellite operations possible. Other systems: migratory animals are affected at this and higher levels; aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)**. Kp = 5
SOLAR ACTIVITY: In the pits of a century-level solar minimum, the sun is setting new records for quiet. But really, how quiet can a 1027-ton nuclear explosion (a star) ever be? The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded some lively action on August 25th and 26th: