posted on May, 16 2009 @ 01:02 PM
I find the high number of guns being purchased encouraging, due to the fact that more people are protecting themselves.
The question that came to mind though was the distribution of those weapons? Are most of them being sold in cities along the coasts or in the
heartland. Both have implications.
People in the large coastal cities may be hedging bets against riots caused by swine flu or terrorism making the government hard up for control.
People in the Midwest may be motivated by things like Obama being elected (think: a largely republicanized area buying a ton of guns when a democrat
is elected...among other things I'm sure).
As for this invasion, the only way any invasion would work against the US would be through the use of nukes to take out major population centers. It
could be done, but would take decades of using aerial mines on the country.
What motivation would there be though? Its not like we have a lot of oil (even the Strategic Reserve only holds enough for our country for 3 days).
We have some metals, and timber, but a lot of the really good stuff is taken out. Maybe they'd be coming after our coal...
It made sense to look at invasion in the 1930-1940's. You had a nation that was still just beginning to tap into its resources. Almost 70 years
later a lot of what made that nation attractive is gone. Then there are all the guns to add in.
Now to talk about the other idea: The ability of the citizenry to defend itself against its own government.
F-22's and Abrams only can attack targets they know about. This information can be gained largely from satellites, but only if the groups HQ'd in
the country. By going into major cities you'd get a large area with many buildings, requiring that human intelligence gathering methods be used.
And don't think they can just pay someone off, since what they use to pay them off has to first have the faith of someone to be worth something.
Don't get me wrong, I don't think that the citizenry would have an easy day and just romp the US military in one go, but there are a lot of things
in their favor, for example:
+Geography: Citizens know where the bases are and the electrical grids that supply them. Also, citizens have the multiplier of knowing the terrain
better than the military could
+Asymmetric Warfare: Its been working good for the Taliban in Afghanistan for quite sometime. Killed one major superpower and has been a pain in the
neck to another. Americans would have the added ability to know what routes military resupply routes are going to take, and are already armed to the
teeth with similar hardware to the military.
+Hard to infiltrate: Likely what would happen in the situation x scenario that I've seen put out would be that people would fall into city/county
militias. This would mean that everyone would know each other and be able to vouch for one another. This would make it incredibly difficult to
infiltrate these "City Armies".
There are of course some obvious negatives:
--Communications: Internet, cell phones, and most radio stations would be shut down or made unavailable to the public if this instance came out.
This could basically paralyze the citizenry to HAM radios and short distance walkie talkies (which aren't encrypted in most cases).
--Numbers: Yes, this is a negative in my book. By having the larger force, Its harder to coordinate attacks. Then there is feeding and clothing
--Medical: Doctors are likely to join up a citizen army, but there is a problem: They can only operate so long as they have the supplies to do so.
Most doctors aren't taught the old methods of diagnosing that don't involve MRI's and X-Rays. This means that many doctors will only be able to
give first aid and give superficial examinations. This will prove horrific if the Military uses a bio weapon.
In the end, I put my money on the citizenry only because they know the supply routes (the Interstates and Federal Highways) between bases, the
electrical and petrochimical transport routes, and where command and control flows from. They can take action against all of these and paralyze the
Military. But that is only if they can get over the communications problem and coordinate. Not to mention there would be great loss of life.