I know a lot of people think this flu is a joke because if you take the death rate in Mexico the large number one, and you divide by the suspected
number of infections, you come up with a number comparable to seasonal flu.
However almost no one dies of seasonal flu. About .6% die of pneumonia 4 to 6 weeks after the flu.
I has not been 4 to six weeks since the flu outbreak in Mexico.
Accoring to a NY Times article today test results show that of those suspected of having the flu, only 750 actually have it.
NY Times article, Outbreak in Mexico May Be Smaller Than Feared
Of 908 suspected cases that were tested, only 397 people turned out to have the virus, officially known as influenza A(H1N1)
Accoring to RSOE EDIS Mexico has 1757 suspected cases total, and 181 deaths.
So the projected infected number is 750.
Add to that 750 the 181 dead. That gives you 181 out of 931 dead, nearly a 20 % mortality rate.
If only two percent die, and the entire world is infected, that comes to 135 Million dead, 20% comes to 1215 Million dead.
This is potentially before the usual killer, pneumonia spreads through the weakened population.
These are not the usual folks in nursing homes dieing. These are the healthiest people, who's own immune systems overreact and kill them.
[edit on 2-5-2009 by Cyberbian]
