Originally posted by ArMaP
Originally posted by BlasteR
Moore's Law would suggest we are generations ahead of where most people really think we are as far as technological advancement.
No, Moore's Law states that transistor density in integrated circuits, which can be considered as a way of measuring performance, doubles every year
(or something like this), it's not something that we can apply to every technology, just integrated circuits.
Actually it is a little more interesting, IMO. But I wasn't just referring to what Moore's law directly states but what it "suggests" based on
exponential growth and how Moore's law is not just indicative of numbers of transistors on integrated circuits.
Almost every measure of the capabilities of digital electronic devices is strongly linked to Moore's law: processing speed, memory capacity, even
the number and size of pixels in digital cameras. All of these are improving at (roughly) exponential rates as well. This has dramatically increased
the usefulness of digital electronics in nearly every segment of the world economy. Moore's law describes this driving force of technological and
social change in the late 20th and early 21st centuries.
There are other similar laws and formulations which all generally follow the same exponential growth pattern as the number of transistors we can fit
on integrated circuits.
- Transistors per integrated circuit
- Density at minimum cost per transistor
- Cost per transistor
- Computing performance per unit cost
- Power consumption
- Hard disk storage cost per unit of information
- RAM storage capacity
- Network capacity
- Pixels per dollar
Moore's First Law (In a nutshell):
The total number of transistors, per square-inch, on an integrated circuit grows exponentially over time (approximately doubling every 24 months).
Moore's Second Law (In a nutshell):
Overall net efficiency of any electronic system grows exponentially over time (approximately doubling every 24 months).
The interesting part in all this (how this ties in to UFO's in general) is the theories related to whether or not Moore's Law will continue. Most
believe it can never sustain itself and that we will eventually reach a point where it levels out due to various different factors. Mainly that we
will reach a point where it isn't technologically possible anymore to put any more transistors on an integrated circuit due to miniaturization limits
of transistors at the atomic level (as Moore talked in an interview).
But there is also alot we do not understand about the universe. Perhaps instead of building transistors at the atomic level, we will build transistor
factories at the atomic level capable of constructing subatomic transistors. There are alot of possibilities here that would project the limitations
and leveling-out of Moore's law much farther into the future than most people think.
Another important question to ask is:
"What happens when Moore's law continues to grow exponentially without being hindered by atomic/subatomic limitations of transistors"?
Perhaps it means that, eventually, we will all be immortal cyborgs capable of traveling to other solar systems and back in one lifetime.. Or that we
would be capable of building computers with unimaginable AI that are exponentially more intelligent than human beings. Perhaps it will reach a point
that everything from human implants to spacecraft and time machines will be researched and designed in the blink of an eye by quantum super-computers.
There is alot that we don't understand here.. And there is also alot of room for interpretation and theories of what will actually happen.
My larger point is that when you consider all this, Intelligent civilizations halfway across the universe being capable of building spacecraft
(UFO's) that can travel to earth isn't so far fetched. And what we DO know about integrated circuits with relation to Moore's Law is only
applicable to what is documented and public knowledge. It does not account for technologies and computers that have been developed in total secrecy.
For all we know the exponentiality principle of Moore's law is twice what we really think it is right now. There just isn't any way to know. And
when you consider that possibility, it isn't so far fetched that we might have developed UFO's/spacecraft with these capabilities either.
[edit on 3-5-2009 by BlasteR]