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ATLANTA – As reports of a unique form of swine flu erupt around the world, the inevitable question arises: Is this the big one?
Is this the next big global flu epidemic that public health experts have long anticipated and worried about? Is this the novel virus that will kill millions around the world, as pandemics did in 1918, 1957 and 1968?
"What makes this so difficult is we may be somewhere between an important but yet still uneventful public health occurrence here — with something that could literally die out over the next couple of weeks and never show up again — or this could be the opening act of a full-fledged influenza pandemic," said Michael Osterholm, a prominent expert on global flu outbreaks with the University of Minnesota.
The influenza virus had a profound virulence, with a mortality rate at 2.5% compared to the previous influenza epidemics, which were less than 0.1%.
Originally posted by 44soulslayer
reply to post by Memysabu
A 90% mortality rate would see the disease wipe itself out. A 10% rate is far, fare more dangerous.
I know it's counterintuitive... but think about it twice. If a disease kills all the hosts its in, it cannot then spread around. That's why you'll never hear of an ebola outbreak.
Originally posted by harrytuttle
But it might be "The Pig One".
[edit on 27-4-2009 by harrytuttle]
Originally posted by NWRHINO
If this is The Pig One and the PSHTF I for one will welcome it with a glass of swine,...I sausage that we just relax an bacon the sun.
This is not just spam,The flu has many elements of human and animal variants
so its more of a scrapple