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Originally posted by blc4r4
A novel influenza A (H1N1) virus has spread rapidly across the globe. Judging its pandemic potential is difficult with limited data, but nevertheless essential to inform appropriate health responses. By analyzing the outbreak in Mexico, early data on international spread, and viral genetic diversity, we make an early assessment of transmissibility and severity. Our estimates suggest that 23,000 (range 6,000-32,000) individuals had been infected in Mexico by late April, giving an estimated case fatality ratio (CFR) of 0.4% (range 0.3% to 1.5%) based on confirmed and suspect deaths reported to that time. In a community outbreak in the small community of La Gloria, Veracruz no deaths were attributed to infection, giving an upper 95% bound on CFR of 0.6%. Thus while substantial uncertainty remains, clinical severity appears less than that seen in 1918 but comparable with that seen in 1957. Clinical attack rates in children in La Gloria were twice that in adults (
Originally posted by fullmoonfairy
@ecoparity, have you formulated a theory as to why Ill and Wisconsin have such a high number of cases? I keep wondering about this and haven't seen anything that points to an explanation.
Just thought I would ask,
Originally posted by ecoparity
reply to post by blc4r4
Regardless of the difficulty in testing for mycoplasma the flu virus is pretty easy to detect and verify in samples. There is definitely a flu virus so the theory that what we're seeing is actually a mycoplasma and not influenza would be less than ideal.
Hiding a mycoplasma which creates pneumonia within a flu virus is within the realm of possibility and given the way all the deaths are of a secondary pneumonia infection the possibility is being examined closely by various experts.
[edit on 12-5-2009 by ecoparity]
Former Cuban leader Fidel Castro has accused Mexico of failing to warn the world of its Swine Flu epidemic.....
Castro said Mexico issued no flu warning for fears it may have led to the cancellation of President Obama's April visit to the country.
Lo único que puede afirmarse ahora es que no lo introdujo la CIA. The only thing I can say now is that it introduced the CIA. Vino de México. Came from Mexico.
We were far from imagining that there and in the United States will unleash epidemic.
More at Link...
Worldwide confirmed cases approach 6,000 as A/H1N1 engulfs more
BEIJING, May 13 (Xinhua) -- The worldwide confirmed A/H1N1 cases have reached around 5,914 as two more countries in Asia and Europe reported their first known cases on Tuesday.
Thailand and Finland reported two cases each after Cuba earlier confirmed its first case in a Mexican student in Havana, bringing the total number of countries with confirmed cases to 33.
In the United States, which has surpassed Mexico with most known cases, Tuesday reported that a total of 3,009 have tested positive of the virus in 45 of its 50 states, with three deaths.
The number of confirmed cases on Monday was 2,600 in 44 states, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
The increase showed that the ongoing outbreak of A/H1N1 influenza continues to expand in the United States. CDC officials have said they expect the A/H1N1 flu to spread to all 50 states, to cause severe disease and more deaths.