Originally posted by Teeky
Who gives a flying fu*k. I'm tired of being afraid of the bird ful, pig flu, and the rage virus. They already have us backed into a corner with fear but I still know there is a chance for us to win.

Originally posted by ecoparity
My analysis based on current data:

1. This outbreak is a bioweapon. The genetic makeup, especially the existence of Eurasian genetic material in a virus which broke out in Mexico indicates transportation. The combination of AB and H5N1 with H1N1 is not a likely mix from nature.

--Your wrong. Its not a god damn bio weapon. The manipulation of something like this could only have been done in one place, here, so I highly highly doubt we would use it on Mexico. ITS NOT A BIOWEAPON.

2. The virus has been designed with a long incubation and is a variant of the Spanish Flu with it's genetic oddities intact. This virus was built to intentionally slow containment responses with the end goal being a mutation of the H5N1 payload into a human to human, airborne configuration.

--No actually the incubation time is no different than any other flu.

3. Response is slow and people are remaining exposed in the US because of the lack of fatalities. The first detection in Mexico occurred on April 13 with the mass fatalities taking 10 days plus to begin en masse. This is not a normal incubation / outbreak wave.

--from an epidemiology stand point, its completely normal. 3-7 day incubation, nothing new there, and it popping up in groups is also normal

4. Only the news of the outbreak in Mexico combined with US residents who have traveled there recently triggered detection of the current US cases. The numerous carriers of the virus who are still in incubation right now will probably result in a wave of US fatalities as the fully incubated virus goes active in the next week. The US emergency mgt system will be hit with a flood of victims almost instantly. By the time the government alerts the media to instruct people to go into self containment it will be too late. This week as people go to work, children go to school and so on the incubating virus will be spreading. Perhaps the too soon delivered vaccine will contain the trigger which causes the H5N1 payload to mutate. Imagine surviving the first wave only to die over a horrible weekend from bird flu.

--This is the truest thing you have said. I too believe we are f-ed.

5. The first wave will hit like the Spanish flu with a second wave of the eventual H5N1 fully collapsing any remaining system. Expect the second wave to go active just as the EMS begins to climb out from under the first wave. First responders, Doctors, etc will be the first to go in wave #2.

--No. No. No.

The 150 or so scientists capable of detecting the fingerprints of bio engineering of the virus (given it used bits and parts from most of there work) are no longer among the living, unfortunately.

--I am one . Show me some SNPs and Ill give you a fingerprint.

I hope to God I'm completely wrong.

Originally posted by Power_Semi
No, you are wrong.

The New York children have now been confirmed to have swine flu, and they are not dead.

What this is panning out to be is a flu epidemic, nothing more, nothing less, and calling me fatalistic when you're claiming 10% of everyone who contracts it is going to die is laughable.

No one outside of Mexico is dead - ergo, you're getting your knickers in a big twist over nothing.