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Swine flu: the worst is yet to come in autumn, warns Alan Johnson
Doctors are being warned to prepare for a second, "much worse" wave of swine flu hitting Britain in the autumn, the Health Secretary has disclosed.
Last Updated: 8:25PM BST 03 May 2009
Alan Johnson said that the lesson of past pandemics was that initially mild outbreaks had been followed by something "much more serious".
His comments came as the number of confirmed cases of swine flu in Britain rose to 18, including two children, with as many as 716 possible patients now being tested.
Swine flu: How afraid should we be?
Health authorities the world over are warning of a swine-flu 'Armageddon’. It could be that they are simply trying to avoid accusations of underplaying the risks. On the other hand, says Mark Honigsbaum, it may be that the worst is to come later this year.
Confirmation of novel H1N1 flu infection can only be made by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) or viral culture......
......Given these limitations, the decision of whether or not to test patients with rapid influenza diagnostic tests should be based upon the patient’s presenting symptoms, whether or not cases of novel H1N1 have been confirmed in the area, and/or the patient’s risk for severe disease or other complications.
The data is based on valid results from 1,280 samples.
Here is the latest information provided by the Mexican health ministry:
AGE PERCENT OF CASES (506 CONFIRMED)
Mexico City 11
State of Mexico 2
Originally posted by Cameoii
reply to post by Hx3_1963
I'm thinking that the higher rate in children is due to the fact that they are constantly in a more social environment than most adults. We go to work, but most of us have an office or at least a cubicle. Schools confine 20+ children in one room for hours at a time. They eat together, go to the restroom in groups, and then when school is out they want to stay together and play. Add to all of that the fact that most children have poor personal hygiene habits. It seems like there is a far greater risk to that age group to spread a communicable disease.
For people who were infected in the first wave, the risk of illness in the second wave was reduced by between 35 percent to 94 percent, about the same protection as for modern vaccines — 70 percent to 90 percent. The risk of death was reduced between 56 percent to 89 percent.
I can't turn on the television or radio or pick up a newspaper without hearing about the new flu strain. Note: I am personally calling it the "new flu strain" rather than the "swine flu." And, I confess, although I am not overly alarmed by what we know so far, my public health training has me concerned and intrigued by this story, too.
Originally posted by Aeons
Have you SEEN what children do? The lick things. Like their shoes....... They think that eating snot is funny.
Why children are more likely to get these things isn't hard to figure out!