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The Indian military fears a ‘Chinese aggression’ in less than a decade. A secret exercise, called ‘Divine Matrix’, by the army’s military operations directorate has visualised a war scenario with the nuclear-armed neighbour before 2017.
“A misadventure by China is very much within the realm of possibility with Beijing trying to position itself as the only power in the region. There will be no nuclear warfare but a short, swift war that could have menacing consequences for India,” said an army officer, who was part of the three-day war games that ended on Wednesday.
In the military’s assessment, based on a six-month study of various scenarios before the war games, China would rely on information warfare (IW) to bring India down on its knees before launching an offensive.
The war games saw generals raising concerns about the IW battalions of the People’s Liberation Army carrying out hacker attacks for military espionage, intelligence collection, paralysing communication systems, compromising airport security, inflicting damage on the banking system and disabling power grids. “We need to spend more on developing information warfare capability,” he said.
The war games dispelled the notion that China would take at least one season (one year) for a substantial military build-up across India’s northeastern frontiers. “The Tibetan infrastructure has been improved considerably. The PLA can now launch an assault very quickly, without any warning, the officer said.
"Evident" crisis in EU-Russia relations
A Polish article has noted that "experts on EU politics agree on one thing: a clear crisis is evident in relations with our eastern neighbour. But the EU and Russia cannot turn their backs on each other." Analysing aspects of this crisis, the paper cites a German commentator's observation that a "problem arises of how to work out a common stance towards Russia after the events in Ukraine. This will be difficult, since many EU countries are indeed competing for Putin's favours... Firstly, this involves the political safeguarding of European energy investments in Russia. Secondly, we cannot calmly wait until the orange revolution reaches Moscow, and a conflict breaks out within Russia itself."
"The foundation of the EU's policy is the faith that Russia is becoming like it, more democratic and capitalist," Katinka Barysch from the London-based Centre for European Reform tells Rzeczpospolita . Nevertheless, the EU is slowly beginning to realize that this is not happening.
"If Russia's achievement of 'common European values' was the objective of these relations, the EU has to admit that it has suffered defeat," says Rolf Schuette from the Brussels-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He believes it is naive to believe in the possibility of exporting democracy to a country as large as Russia, which cannot be offered a "carrot" in the form of the prospect of EU membership
Trust between the EU and Russia has reached its lowest level since the end of the Cold War, EU Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson has warned.
He said this was partly due to concerns over energy, which both thought the other was using as a political weapon.
Mr Mandelson urged the creation of a "grand bargain" with security of demand and supply on both sides as well as investment in each other's markets.
Another cause was different perceptions of the 1990s post-Soviet transition.
There was also a lack of respect between the two sides, he said.
"Neither [side] thinks they enjoy the respect from the other they are entitled to expect," he said at a conference in the Italian city of Bologna.
To overcome this mistrust it would be necessary to anchor the Russian economy in the EU's single market and the international trade system, he added.
"Relations between the EU and Russia ... contain a level of misunderstanding or even mistrust we have not seen since the end of the Cold War," he told the conference.
Originally posted by hardamber
How about that "photograph" he took of future San Francisco? He simply took a photo of a painting.