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Originally posted by melatonin
You're showing your age. This discussion has been going on for decades. Can even be traced back to the 19th century.
Eh? So you think that because the word global warming has been used that every single part of the globe must show montonic increases?
Perhaps if you're interested in that issue you can resurrect Indy's thread. I doubt I'll bother contributing, as it's just another pathetic ASS thread.
Originally posted by Long Lance
ad hominem.
since when has GW been a widely publicised issue?
Originally posted by Long Lance
let's not forget that what we are talking about was at least for a decade called global warming...
your statement is false at face value, because we had lots of other (much more tangible) issues at hand like acid rain in the 80s and secondly global warming didn't really take off in the public realm until the 1990s. the Rio de Janeiro summit wasn't exclusively about it, for example, but Kyoto was. therefore, it was called GW from inception, which must have been 1980 or so, but only got media attention later around 1990 - until a few years ago when a few months were too cold or yet another Gore mess got snowed in. from then on it was called climate change and became a religion, because it could no longer be falsified. warmer ? told ya so! colder? are you too simple minded? *wink*nudge* good bet i'm sure, but very telling, too.
Science 8 August 1975:
Vol. 189. no. 4201, pp. 460 - 463
Articles
Climatic Change: Are We on the Brink of a Pronounced Global Warming?
Wallace S. Broecker 1
1 Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory and Department of Geological Sciences, Columbia University, Palisades, New York 10964
If man-made dust is unimportant as a major cause of climatic change, then a strong case can be made that the present cooling trend will, within a decade or so, give way to a pronounced warming induced by carbon dioxide. By analogy with similar events in the past, the natural climatic cooling which, since 1940, has more than compensated for the carbon dioxide effect, will soon bottom out. Once this happens, the exponential rise in the atmospheric carbon dioxide content will tend to become a significant factor and by early in the next century will have driven the mean planetary temperature beyond the limits experienced during the last 1000 years.
i think it's safe to say that regurgitation of your 'OMG it's melting' drill and my repetitive posting of snippets that the situation was seen differently in 2002 won't benefit anyone. you did not adress why ice flow should follow your preferred schedule and your notion that i'm inferring continuous increases on a global scale is a strawman, this thread is about Antarctic melting glaciers, which is widely used as 'proof' for GW /climate change.
the trick is when it's finally accepted as fact, at which point discussion about it becomes heresy. it can then be used in conjunction with any other new issue, real or imagined and discussing said issue becomes more complicated due to 'previous experience'. in other words, if the old data and the new data fit together, then there should be a trend reversal in between...
will future compliated data show this or will it be another hockey stick? i know the answer already btw. as your approach clearly shows.
your condescending tone and your casual cussing are clear for everyone to see.
PS: again how many Antarctic melting threads do we actually need? try long enough until you can post your PR unopposed? is that what you people want? is there a real reason why every two weeks, we get the same old litany. why not resurrect these threads?
Originally posted by melatonin
Nice, yeah. Volcanoes. They exist.
So any evidence that their activity is increasing, and that if they are the energy is sufficient to warm like we are seeing, or is it just more scattergun denialism?
It's just the sun, or cosmic rays, or volcanoes, or fairy dust. Can't be influenced by human activity, no sir, lol.
In reality, the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets occupy deep basins, and cannot slide down a plane. Furthermore glacial flow depends on stress (including the important yield stress) as well as temperature, and much of the ice sheets are well below melting point. The accumulation of kilometers of undisturbed ice in cores in Greenland and Antarctica (the same ones that are sometimes used to fuel ideas of global warming) show hundreds of thousands of years of accumulation with no melting or flow. Except around the edges, ice sheets flow at the base and depend on geothermal heat, not the climate at the surface. It is impossible for the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to “collapse.”
Oceanic Influences on Recent Continental Warming
GILBERT P. COMPO
PRASHANT D. SARDESHMUKH
Climate Diagnostics Center,
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences,
University of Colorado, and
Physical Sciences Division, Earth System Research Laboratory,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
325 Broadway R/PSD1
Boulder CO 80305-3328
[email protected]
(303) 497-6115
(303) 497-6449
Citation:
Compo, G.P., and P.D. Sardeshmukh, 2008: Oceanic influences on recent continental warming. Climate
Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0448-9.
This article is published by Springer-Verlag. This author-created version is distributed courtesy of Springer-Verlag.
The original publication is available from www.springerlink.com at
www.springerlink.com...
Abstract
Evidence is presented that the recent worldwide land warming has occurred largely in response to a worldwide warming of the oceans rather than as a direct response to increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) over land.
Atmospheric model simulations of the last half-century with prescribed observed ocean temperature changes, but without prescribed GHG changes, account for most of the land warming. The oceanic influence has occurred through hydrodynamic-radiative teleconnections, primarily by moistening and warming the air over land and increasing the downward longwave radiation at the surface. The oceans may themselves have warmed from a combination of natural and anthropogenic influences.
Antarctic glaciers surge to ocean
By Martin Redfern
Rothera Research Station, Antarctica
...........
"The measurements from last season seem to show an incredible acceleration, a rate of up to 7%. That is far greater than the accelerations they were getting excited about in the 1990s."
The reason does not seem to be warming in the surrounding air.
One possible culprit could be a deep ocean current that is channelled onto the continental shelf close to the mouth of the glacier. There is not much sea ice to protect it from the warm water, which seems to be undercutting the ice and lubricating its flow.
Ongoing monitoring
Julian Scott, however, thinks there may be other forces at work as well.
Much higher up the course of the glacier there is evidence of a volcano that erupted through the ice about 2,000 years ago and the whole region could be volcanically active, releasing geothermal heat to melt the base of the ice and help its slide towards the sea.
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Wow, so i guess according to you only one thing must happen at a time?
Stop giving excuses as you try to dismiss anything, and everything that doesn't support your claim.
Julian Scott, however, thinks there may be other forces at work as well.
Much higher up the course of the glacier there is evidence of a volcano that erupted through the ice about 2,000 years ago and the whole region could be volcanically active, releasing geothermal heat to melt the base of the ice and help its slide towards the sea.
Oceanic Influences on Recent Continental Warming
...The oceanic influence has occurred through hydrodynamic-radiative teleconnections, primarily by moistening and warming the air over land and increasing the downward longwave radiation at the surface. The oceans may themselves have warmed from a combination of natural and anthropogenic influences.
Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content
B. D. Santera,b, C. Mearsc, F. J. Wentzc, K. E. Taylora, P. J. Glecklera, T. M. L. Wigleyd, T. P. Barnette, J. S. Boylea, W. Brüggemannf, N. P. Gillettg, S. A. Kleina, G. A. Meehld, T. Nozawah, D. W. Piercee, P. A. Stotti, W. M. Washingtond, and M. F. Wehnerj
+Author Affiliations
aProgram for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550;
cRemote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA 95401;
dNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80307;
eScripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA 92037;
fInstitut für Unternehmensforschung, Universität Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany;
gClimatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, United Kingdom;
hNational Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba 305-8506, Japan;
iHadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter EX1 3PB, United Kingdom; and
jLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA 94720
Edited by Inez Y. Fung, University of California, Berkeley, CA, and approved July 27, 2007 (received for review March 27, 2007)
Abstract
Data from the satellite-based Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) show that the total atmospheric moisture content over oceans has increased by 0.41 kg/m2 per decade since 1988. Results from current climate models indicate that water vapor increases of this magnitude cannot be explained by climate noise alone. In a formal detection and attribution analysis using the pooled results from 22 different climate models, the simulated “fingerprint” pattern of anthropogenically caused changes in water vapor is identifiable with high statistical confidence in the SSM/I data. Experiments in which forcing factors are varied individually suggest that this fingerprint “match” is primarily due to human-caused increases in greenhouse gases and not to solar forcing or recovery from the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. Our findings provide preliminary evidence of an emerging anthropogenic signal in the moisture content of earth's atmosphere.
Originally published in Science Express on 2 June 2005
Science 8 July 2005:
Vol. 309. no. 5732, pp. 284 - 287
DOI: 10.1126/science.1112418
Prev | Table of Contents | Next
Reports
Penetration of Human-Induced Warming into the World's Oceans
Tim P. Barnett,1* David W. Pierce,1 Krishna M. AchutaRao,2 Peter J. Gleckler,2 Benjamin D. Santer,2 Jonathan M. Gregory,3 Warren M. Washington4
A warming signal has penetrated into the world's oceans over the past 40 years. The signal is complex, with a vertical structure that varies widely by ocean; it cannot be explained by natural internal climate variability or solar and volcanic forcing, but is well simulated by two anthropogenically forced climate models. We conclude that it is of human origin, a conclusion robust to observational sampling and model differences. Changes in advection combine with surface forcing to give the overall warming pattern. The implications of this study suggest that society needs to seriously consider model predictions of future climate change.
Despite you apparently claiming that events must be separate, several natural factors can, and are occurring which affect the climate, and affect Earth and it's inhabitants.
Originally posted by melatonin
Rearranged for coherence...
Originally posted by melatonin
Not sure I said that.
Originally posted by melatonin
If you want to posit a geothermal cause for the glacial melting in antarctica (and elsewhere?), then support it. Otherwise it's just another denier's scattergun with bollax for ammo.
Originally posted by melatonin
Great, he 'thinks' geothermal heat has an influence. I'm sure volcanoes under ice would melt it. There's a volcano. Whoopie-woo, lol. So no evidence that it is a major influence and that it is an increasing one?
At least read your own evidence.
Originally published in Science Express on 2 June 2005
Science 8 July 2005:
Vol. 309. no. 5732, pp. 284 - 287
DOI: 10.1126/science.1112418
Prev | Table of Contents | Next
Reports
Penetration of Human-Induced Warming into the World's Oceans
Originally posted by melatonin
Never said that was the case. Indeed, it is likely that natural variability has been an influence. But just asserting any old BS isn't any help. For example, it's well-accepted already that solar variations have likely been influential. It's also just as well-supported that human influences are more important currently.
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
It is coherent, you just want to try to find any excuse to dismiss what you don't want to accept.
Refer to your comment on the several factors which do affect the climate on Earth, except your "fairy dust" which is anthropogenic CO2.
Of course, to find out more or less how many underwater volcanoes could be causing all this, there is the following story.
I did, twice, you apparently just want to ignore the facts presented to you.
Yeah thinking, you should try it sometime, it does wonders to the mind, and makes you see the complex picture that Climate change is and how the "several' natural factors influence it.
I read that part too, but you obviously dismiss the fact that they say their findings indicate warming due to underwater volcanoes, meanwhile anthropogenic warming "might" be occurring, but present no evidence for this.
Again show us just one evidence that proves without a shadow of a doubt that anthropogenic CO2 is the cause of the warming claimed by your camp. Again, "claims" and computer models are not facts.
I gave more than one research work that disprove the claim in the research paper you just gave from 2005.
One claim doesn't disprove facts.
That's the BS, there is no supporting evidence that shows anthropogenic CO2 is the cause of the warming. Giving the "same old claims" is no proof, they are just "unproven claims".
The natural factors which "do affect the climate on Earth" have been showing dramatic increases which do increase the temperature on Earth during the time that there was warming.
You can't claim that anthropogenic is the main cause of warming because Earth has gone through changes in temperature, and atmospheric CO2 did not change much.
There have also been times throughout the geological record of Earth in which we find periods of cold, and periods of warm temperatures with the same, or similar amounts of atmospheric CO2.
We also find throughout the geological record of Earth times when atmospheric CO2 were much higher than now yet temperatures were not different than now.
You can't have it both ways, either CO2 is the main driver of climate or it is not, which the history of Earth shows it is not a main driver, or an influential driver in temperatures, and either CO2 causes warming, or it causes cooling, but it can do both.
Volcanic eruptions reshape Arctic ocean floor: study
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) June 25, 2008
Recent massive volcanoes have risen from the ocean floor deep under the Arctic ice cap, spewing plumes of fragmented magma into the sea, scientists who filmed the aftermath reported Wednesday.
The eruptions -- as big as the one that buried Pompei -- took place in 1999 along the Gakkel Ridge, an underwater mountain chain snaking 1,800 kilometres (1,100 miles) from the northern tip of Greenland to Siberia.
Heat From Earth's Magma Contributing To Melting Of Greenland Ice
ScienceDaily (Dec. 18, 2007) — Scientists have discovered what they think may be another reason why Greenland 's ice is melting: a thin spot in Earth's crust is enabling underground magma to heat the ice.
They have found at least one “hotspot” in the northeast corner of Greenland -- just below a site where an ice stream was recently discovered.
The researchers don't yet know how warm the hotspot is. But if it is warm enough to melt the ice above it even a little, it could be lubricating the base of the ice sheet and enabling the ice to slide more rapidly out to sea.
Melting Glacier Shows Heat Under Alaskan Volcano
Dan Joling, Associated Press
Feb. 2, 2009 -- Geologists monitoring Mount Redoubt for signs of a possible eruption noticed that a hole in the glacier clinging to the north side of the volcano had doubled in size overnight -- and now spans the length of two football fields.
Scientists with the Alaska Volcano Observatory on Friday flew close to Drift Glacier and spotted vigorous steam emitted from a hole on the mountain. By Saturday, they had confirmed the area was a fumarole, an opening in the earth that emits gases and steam, that was increasing in size at an alarming rate.
They also saw water streaming down the glacier, indicating heat from magma is reaching higher elevations of the mountain.
"The glacier is sort of falling apart in the upper part," research geologist Kristi Wallace said.
Oceanic Influences on Recent Continental Warming
Hansen’s Glacier Model is Wrong!
Ocean Floor Geysers Warm Flowing Sea Water
ScienceDaily (Sep. 25, 2008) — An international team of earth scientists report movement of warmed sea water through the flat, Pacific Ocean floor off Costa Rica. The movement is greater than that off midocean volcanic ridges. The finding suggests possible marine life in a part of the ocean once considered barren.
Study finds Arctic seabed afire with lava-spewing volcanoes
The Arctic seabed is as explosive geologically as it is politically judging by the "fountains" of gas and molten lava that have been blasting out of underwater volcanoes near the North Pole.
Boiling Hot Water Found in Frigid Arctic SeaBy LiveScience Staff
posted: 24 July 2008 04:51 pm ET
Many miles inside the Arctic Circle, scientists have found elusive vents of scalding liquid rising out of the seafloor at temperatures that are more than twice the boiling point of water.
The cluster of five hydrothermal vents, also called black smokers.
Giant Undersea Volcano Found Off Iceland
Richard A. Lovett
for National Geographic News
April 22, 2008
A giant and unusual underwater volcano lies just offshore of Iceland on the Reykjanes Ridge, volcanologists have announced.
Volcanic Eruptions, Not Meteor, May Have Killed The Dinosaurs
Sea die-out blamed on volcanoes
Antarctic glaciers surge to ocean
Thousand of new volcanoes revealed beneath the waves
10:04 09 July 2007 by Catherine Brahic
The true extent to which the ocean bed is dotted with volcanoes has been revealed by researchers who have counted 201,055 underwater cones. This is over 10 times more than have been found before.
The team estimates that in total there could be about 3 million submarine volcanoes, 39,000 of which rise more than 1000 metres over the sea bed.
Volcanic eruptions reshape Arctic ocean floor: study
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) June 25, 2008
Recent massive volcanoes have risen from the ocean floor
Melting Glacier Shows Heat Under Alaskan Volcano
Dan Joling, Associated Press
Feb. 2, 2009 -- Geologists monitoring Mount Redoubt for signs of a possible eruption noticed that a hole in the glacier clinging to the north side of the volcano had doubled in size overnight -- and now spans the length of two football fields.
that in fact underwater volcanoes are a main factor melting glaciers, and increasing ocean temperatures.
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
Even in the face of facts you continue trying to deny them. This is typical of people who have a "belief" they don't want to see die in the face of facts.
That's the BS, there is no supporting evidence that shows anthropogenic CO2 is the cause of the warming. Giving the "same old claims" is no proof, they are just "unproven claims".
Nature 410, 355-357 (15 March 2001) | doi:10.1038/35066553; Received 17 May 2000; Accepted 15 January 2001
Increases in greenhouse forcing inferred from the outgoing longwave radiation spectra of the Earth in 1970 and 1997
John E. Harries, Helen E. Brindley, Pretty J. Sagoo & Richard J. Bantges
Space and Atmospheric Physics Group, Blackett Laboratory, Imperial College, London SW7 2BW, UK
Correspondence to: John E. Harries Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to J.E.H. (e-mail: Email: [email protected]).
The evolution of the Earth's climate has been extensively studied1, 2, and a strong link between increases in surface temperatures and greenhouse gases has been established3, 4. But this relationship is complicated by several feedback processes—most importantly the hydrological cycle—that are not well understood5, 6, 7. Changes in the Earth's greenhouse effect can be detected from variations in the spectrum of outgoing longwave radiation8, 9, 10, which is a measure of how the Earth cools to space and carries the imprint of the gases that are responsible for the greenhouse effect11, 12, 13. Here we analyse the difference between the spectra of the outgoing longwave radiation of the Earth as measured by orbiting spacecraft in 1970 and 1997. We find differences in the spectra that point to long-term changes in atmospheric CH4, CO2 and O3 as well as CFC-11 and CFC-12. Our results provide direct experimental evidence for a significant increase in the Earth's greenhouse effect that is consistent with concerns over radiative forcing of climate.
The CO2 that is released by mankind has always existed on Earth and will always exist, and there is no proof whatsoever, apart from claims and computer models which are flawed there is no evidence to support the claim of Global Warming.
Originally posted by melatonin
Took me a moment to find that one, and not a model in sight.
Although, not sure why you're so bothered by models, you used a study based on one quick enough. Would suggest hypocrisy if you think they are useless.
Originally posted by melatonin
So says some think-tank associated emeritus ex-scientist who now publishes on websites. lol
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
This is what I mean. Just because they "claim" there is a strong link without showing evidence does not make it true.
Also, in fact, me showing that with models contradictory evidence exists against the "claim" of Global Warming shows that this is only a claim with no corroborating "evidence" whatsoever.
Originally posted by ElectricUniverse
And who are you exactly to dismiss what a Geologist has to say about this?...
'Ice sheets do not melt from the surface down -- only at the edges,' Prof. Ollier explains. The modellers' mechanism that has 'meltwater lakes on the surface finding their way down through cracks in the ice and lubricating the bottom of the glacier is not compatible with accumulation of undisturbed snow layers.'
A report in today's Science describes how researchers recorded the drainage of one such lake in Greenland. The lake was roughly 5.6 km2, but drained completely in less than an hour and a half. The lake's contents rapidly made their way down to the bottom of the ice sheet, 980 m below the surface. During this period, the average drainage rate was 8700 m3/s. For reference, the average flow rate for Niagara Falls is only 5700 m3/s.
You are just someone posting on a site making just "claims" with no corroborating evidence to support your claims except to show more...claims.
Originally posted by melatonin
Your goalpost is shifting, I see. You never said anything about public realm and publicising.
'Twas really publically noted around 1988. The same year the IPCC was formed.
Why whine at me? I never posted the threads.
Originally posted by Long Lance
called by whom?
it should be obvious that whatever went on in relative obscurity is immaterial in the context. it was called GW in the beginning and no amount of distraction will change that. i will most certainly not take each and every real or non existant option into account in my writing because a language similar to legalese would be the result.
until a few years ago when a few months were too cold or yet another Gore mess got snowed in. from then on it was called climate change and became a religion, because it could no longer be falsified. warmer ? told ya so! colder? are you too simple minded? *wink*nudge* good bet i'm sure, but very telling, too.
as for strategy, i believe that people who were capable of planning this particular criminal enterprise were more than adept at creating a lot of backup plans, not doing so would have been foolish.
if you were the only person reading this thread i wouldn't have bothered to begin with.
Again, the term 'climate change' has a long history. Global warming is climate change, but climate change is not always or just global warming.
Originally posted by TheRedneck
I just have to point out that this argument is one of those strawmen arguments you like to rail on. Sure, someone used the term 'climate change' a century or so ago; that is itself irrelevant. Leonardo DaVinci drew a helicopter; that does not mean helicopters existed in his lifetime.
The point Lance is making is not that no one talked about climate change until recently, but that the public did not take it seriously until recently. In that respect, he is completely accurate. Propaganda based (loosely) on science has been used to sway public opinion in the Global Warming debate. The pattern is very clear, for anyone who wishes to see it:
Originally posted by Long Lance
let's not forget that what we are talking about was at least for a decade called global warming...
Originally posted by Long Lance
your statement is false at face value, because we had lots of other (much more tangible) issues at hand like acid rain in the 80s and secondly global warming didn't really take off in the public realm until the 1990s. the Rio de Janeiro summit wasn't exclusively about it, for example, but Kyoto was. therefore, it was called GW from inception, which must have been 1980 or so, but only got media attention later around 1990 - until a few years ago when a few months were too cold or yet another Gore mess got snowed in. from then on it was called climate change and became a religion, because it could no longer be falsified. warmer ? told ya so! colder? are you too simple minded? *wink*nudge* good bet i'm sure, but very telling, too.
1970s: concerns about the coming "New Ice Age" are propagandized and spoon-fed to the public. The result is that certain chemicals are outlawed, among them the refrigerant used in air conditioning units. Coincidentally, the patent held by DuPont on said refrigerant is about to expire. A new refrigerant that is deemed harmless to the atmosphere is then patented by DuPont, extending their patent protection over refrigerants for two patent life-spans.
1980s: the concern then moves to acid rain. News stories and 'documentaries' are published on a regular basis showcasing how terrible the destruction of the forests via sulfuric acid in rainwater is, and warning of a day when standing in a rain shower could be deadly to human life. This was abandoned shortly after some chemists stood up and announced that the largest contributor to acid rain was the use of the catalytic converter, mandated by government.
1988: the public is again shocked to learn that we are heading for the exact reverse of the "New Ice Age", a period of warmer temperatures. The average person's response is "Good! Less of this &^*%^ snow!" so future scenarios mentioning sea level rise and catastrophic weather changes have to be introduced to make the coming predictions dire enough to ignite public furor. Scenarios of drastic sea level rises covering major cities are spoon fed to the public, along with concerns over more frequent and stronger hurricanes.
Now I know this is not going to bring more than a 'lol' from you, Mel, along with a quick dismissal that someone who is sooooo dumb and soooo unscientific as to be from Alabama ( ) actually thinks they know something more than the great omniscient Melatonin. That's fine; I'm not talking to you. I'm talking to those same people you are talking to, the readers, who are able to see through the fallacies and understand what is real and what is fabricated.
Originally posted by melatonin
His words are clear enough. Climate change is a well-established term. Indeed, the IPCC is not the IPGW.
So because of a handful of scientists suggested global cooling, Dupont had a patented chemical outlawed (Freon?) in the 1970s?
Really?
So the contribution of SO2 to acid rain was abandoned because catalytic converters also emit oxides that lead to acid rain?
Really?
It's a great story. But it's just that - a myth. There was absolutely no firm certainty on warming or cooling during the 1970s. Indeed, I posted a study earlier from 1975 which shows this, and studies even then supported predominance of GHG-induced warming.
And it's good to see you could speak for the average person in 1988, lol.