posted on Mar, 26 2009 @ 04:35 PM
This is a very interesting topic, just to see what people think might happen, or has the highest probability of happening.
I personally love probability and monitor a ton of different news, economic, and popular avenues and make up probabilities of things that could
happen. Now, this is clearly, extremely, unscientific and arbitrary. However, I've been interestingly right in a few "predictions." I use quotes
for that, as its inferences anyone can make if they pay attention.
So, in short, here's what I'd say:
80% chance: Nothing happens. America's history of stability and cooler heads prevailing prevents a massive destabilization. America, even if the rest
of the world falters, remains the world's sole superpower and brings the rest of the world out of any chaos. This may be a catalyst to a world
government. I'm not saying that the 80% chance is that there will be a world collapse, just that the United States will be insulated and safe. This
is the most historical and political possibility.
13% chance: The United States moves closer to greater democratization. Remember your philosophers, when democracies go down, they form tyrannies.
However, if the government remains a republic in decline, we can become an Empire. Notice, Empires are not all Tyrannies. If things begin to collapse
in the United States, the SitX will be mass protests across the nation. The president will be voted emergency powers to preserve the Union
(historically, this is the way it usually happens). There is the possibility of a coup, but, I wouldn't give it much of a chance of happening. The
catalyst for these protests would be a terrorist attack or a major market collapse. This SitX moment is at its highest probability yet in late April
2009. The reason for this? The first stimulus package is currently buffering the economy of the United States. If steps can't be taken to preserve
the economy, talk of a second stimulus will start in early May. The market will begin to fluctuate and then drop down in a huge manner.
The real SitX moment would have to come in late September with the imposition of emergency powers.
5% chance: There is a major event, such as a terrorist attack or a market collapse before the government is prepared to sweep in and restore order.
When this happens, we see that there are at least five factions, geographically generated across the nation. The bonds of the nation begin to dissolve
as federal troops try in vain to make sure the nation doesn't unravel. By the fall of 2010, congress will have generally dissolved,