posted on Mar, 9 2009 @ 12:09 PM
This warning is reminiscent of Nazi warnings to Poland prior to the start of WWII. Just prior to the invasion which kicked off WWII, the Nazis
fabricated an incident to ‘justify’ their invasion. Perhaps that is what is being set-up here?
Although many here argue that North Korea would never start a war they know they would lose, I’m not so sure.
First, they don’t necessarily KNOW they would lose it. Never underestimate a dictatorship’s proclivity to delude itself – just recall that most
people thought that Germany invaded Russia despite Hitler’s own writings that Germany could never win a two-front war, and Japan attacked Pearl
Harbor despite believing it could never ‘conquer’ the US. With Kim in deteriorating health, and the old guard communist regime clinging to control
by means that are effectively strangling its nation’s chances of survival, they can see the writing on the wall. Left unaltered the future of North
Korea is dismal, not communist, and lay in an eventual re-absorption by the South, under a capitalist system. With all the economic chaos plaguing the
world right now maybe they figure this is their last and best chance to alter that outcome. Let’s see: certain failure if present path left
unaltered, possible redemption if radically jolted.
Second, North Korean military might should not be under-estimated, even if we assume they do not have military nuclear capability yet. Yes they do
have older equipment, but they have a lot of it. Seoul lays well within artillery range of North Korea, as does South Korea’s major airport.
Approximately two-thirds of South Korea’s population and industrial base lays within 100 miles of the border. US military assets remaining in Korea
are at the lowest levels since the Korean War: We have exactly two combat brigades remaining, only one wing of combat aircraft, and marginal naval
combatants. Why? Because of our ongoing war in the Middle East. Yes, the South does have formidable military might of its own, but imagine what
fighting a war with 20 million refugees clogging the roads, communications, and supply lines. Even though, I believe we could eventually win
militarily, the devastation to the South and our forward staged forces could be immense.
Finally, don’t be so sure that China would or could reign them in. The Chinese believe in a long-view of history and the future. They believe that
by the end of this century they will be the dominant economic and military power. So any war in Korea, even if it affects trade and relations for a
decade, is a short-term blip along its path. While China may give lip service to its disapproval of North Korean bellicosity, you just have to know
that in secret they are laughing at North Korea’s chutzpah. And perhaps what better way to ensure the US is finally broken in it military power,
then to see us dragged into a MAJOR war in the midst of our greatest economic catastrophe since the 1930s? What would be the American public’s
reaction to the prospect of fighting an all-out war in Asia? How many people would actually honor the draft this time?
Remember that the hegemony of European dominant colonialism began to break-down as a result of World War I. Wiping the flower of a generation,
destroying the stability of the Gold Standard, and planting seeds of discord that would encourage the fanatical nationalism among the old powers that
led to WWII, and the devastation of those economies (except for the US at that time). Maybe we won’t do so well this time; and maybe that’s what
North Korea is betting on.