posted on Feb, 23 2009 @ 05:44 AM
The comparisons aren't what you think. In the 1980's we had runaway inflation and although the prime rate was sky high, real wages and asset values
were being inflated at the same rate or higher. Now we have the opposite, deflation of assets and income - your housing sales charts show increased
purchases but LOOK at the prices. The median home price in Florida gas dropped $60K and in California $200K. In the 80's you paid 18% for a 30 year
mortgage but your house appreciated at around the same rate, now you pay 6% but your house depreciated 30 - 50% last year. Unemployment numbers are
also skewed, because in the 80's they reported it as one total number, now it's broken into 3 categories - U1, U2, U3. U3 is the total of all
categories of unemployed and is around 14.5% now I think.
Things were NOT worse in the 80's, it was an inflationary period and the debt was shrinking (relative to asset values and income). What we're
facing now is DEflation and assets and income are shrinking while debt is expanding. You can control inflation by raising the prime lending rate
until it becomes restrictive and curbs growth, you can control deflation by lowering the prime rate until it promotes growth. But the effective
federal funds rate is now at 0.0 - 0.25%. ZERO. That means we fall down go boom.