posted on Feb, 21 2009 @ 01:33 AM
Well, there is a danger of some major catastrophe being used as an excuse for Marshal Law being declared, and the various State and Local governments
being disolved. That may happen.
However, any government even a military one, needs to have a localized structure in order to govern or even just to keep the peace.
I think that the cities, the big ones, will be a lost cause. The majority of people will flee and become refugees. Those who don't will riot, then
they will loot, then they will notice that everyone with any sense has left. Then they will fight amongst themselves and establish a local warlord.
Most of those who stayed behind will be dead in a pretty short time.
In the less densely populated areas, things will be a bit calmer. There may be some localized rioting or looting, but not the complete chaos of the
cities. If localized control is lost, eventually people of like minds will band together. They will establish their own local order and eventually
seek out others of like mind. These groups will coaless into those who believe in the Constitution and the rule of law and those who don't.
The lines will be drawn and there will be a period of relative calm in which these groups draw together. What is interesting is how the large cities
where the chaos will be, are mostly Liberal and the rural areas tend to be very Conservative. In the rural areas law and order are most likely to
Eventually, the different sides (there may be more than two) will either reconcile and form alliances or they will attempt to gain the upper hand over
their neighbors. This will be a period of local skirmishes depending on the population densities.
At this point the Military will probably try to step in and establish control. In some areas the Military may never have lost control.
The rest will depend upon what the Military chooses to do. If they establish order, support local elections, and try to restore the Union. Then the
violence might end rather quickly. If they become a larger body of warlords, then the war might get really bloody at this point. This is the point
again when people will need to step up and remind the Military leadership who and what they are sworn to defend.
If a Military leader tries to promote himself as the supreme leader and then tries to rule by force. The Military units will likely split and then a
long and bloody Civil War will take place with modern weaponry. That will be very very bloody.
I don't know what might happen after that. This is where my speculation ends. Like I said, this is mostly gut feelings.
It does seem to indicate though that the farther you are from one of the major cities, the better off you are likely to be. So, Kansas, Oklahoma,
Nebraska, Wyoming, Montana, Idaho. These may be good spots. I have relatives in Wyoming so that is most likely where I will be.
The refugee populations from the major cities could be problematic. It might be best to avoid them if you can.