RED ALERT: FX Dislocation In Process, page 3
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reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:33 PM by ProfEmeritus
I think it has more to do with the Japanese economy, and it's disastrous slide.
www.theage.com.au...

Japan plunges into depression * Peter Martin * February 17, 2009 AUSTRALIA'S biggest and most reliable customer, Japan, has plunged into depression, with federal Treasurer Wayne Swan now warning of the worst global downturn "in our lifetimes". - Japan among worst hit - Businesses forecast losses - Australian export fears Japan's economy shrank an annualised 12.7 per cent over the December quarter, its worst result since the 1974 oil shock. Japan is by far Australia's biggest export customer, accounting for one in every five container ships that leave Australia's shores. The new figures put it among the worst-hit casualties of the global crisis. The annualised contraction of 12.7 per cent, or 3.3 per cent in quarterly terms, dwarfs those of the United States and Europe and is much worse than anything that happened to Japan during its so-called "lost decade" of recession in the 1990s. The collapse in growth fits the profile of a depression — a deep recession in which annual GDP falls by 10 per cent or more. Australia's other big customer, China, has had its growth rate almost halved from 13 to 6.8 per cent. "These figures reveal just how serious the global recession is becoming," Mr Swan said. "They follow on the heels of the worst contraction in the euro area since records began in 1980. "The last three months of 2008 are likely to have seen the sharpest synchronised downturn in the global economy in our lifetimes.


They're dumping the yen all over the place now.


reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:37 PM by Agit8dChop
reply to post by redhatty



Futures are down a bit


7850.41 7779.0 -158.00

Cant be good....



reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:38 PM by spinkyboo
reply to post by nj2day



Wow. Thanks for that!
Clarity through explanation is a wonderful thing.
Let's hope for the best -
Weird weird times indeed.




reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:38 PM by nj2day
reply to post by redhatty



Thanks for the Forex link wish there was a way to overlay the different currencies lol It definitely verifies what Denninger is saying... Thats a pretty big spike within a few hours... but it seems to have leveled off...

FYI the HANG is down about 400 right now and still going...

DJ futures down over 100...

Edit: nevermind on leveling out... Forex is still showing the dollar going up


[edit on 16-2-2009 by nj2day]


reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:40 PM by ProfEmeritus
reply to post by nj2day





Thanks for the Forex link wish there was a way to overlay the different currencies lol It definitely verifies what Denninger is saying..


Here is the bloomberg link with currencies:
www.bloomberg.com...



reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:42 PM by Walkswithfish
reply to post by nj2day



Thank you for that insightful explanation.

2nd line.

[edit on 16-2-2009 by Walkswithfish]


reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:42 PM by ProfEmeritus
reply to post by tjeffersonsghost


Part of the problem is T & D:
www.bloomberg.com...
T&D Holdings Inc., Japan’s largest publicly traded life insurer, plunged 9.7 percent, as the U.K.’s Financial Services Authority asked the industry to assess how well they can withstand market shocks. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s biggest mining company, fell 0.7 percent in Sydney as copper retreated. Brambles Ltd., the world’s biggest supplier of pallets used to move and store goods, tumbled 9.4 percent after a drop in profit prompted brokerage downgrades. “In the current market climate, there is little incentive for investors to buy stocks,” Mamoru Shimode, a Tokyo-based equity strategist at Deutsche Bank AG, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 0.8 percent to 80.58 as of 10:10 a.m. in Tokyo. Five stocks dropped for every two that advanced. The gauge has lost 10 percent this year, extending 2008’s record 43 percent tumble, as the credit crisis dragged the world’s biggest economies into recession. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average lost 0.8 percent to 7,690.02. Benchmark measures in other Asian markets open for trading also fell. Futures on the U.S. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.1 percent. U.S. markets were closed yesterday for Presidents’ Day. T&D slumped 9.7 percent to 2,010 yen, tracking an 11 percent drop by the U.K.’s Legal & General Group Plc, which declined on speculation the 173-year-old British insurer may have to cut its dividend to boost capital reserves.



reply posted on 16-2-2009 @ 09:44 PM by redhatty
reply to post by nj2day



Yeah, but take a look at the Euro

Starting to think this is related to Eastern Europe

Professor, as much as I would like to believe that it was Japan following through on their need to devalue the Yen, there are TOO MANY currency crosses involved tonight for it to just be Japan
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