Alaska - Mt Redoubt Volcano could erupt within days, page 3
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reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 02:43 AM by violet
reply to post by TrueAmerican



I think they've said earlier that SO2 and other gases have been confirmed, beginning in september 08

"Overflights on January 26 and 27 documented continued production of water vapor and volcanic gas plumes from the summit crater; increased melting has produced small flows of debris at the north base of the volcano."

EDITED for clarity: from an earlier update
"AVO conducted a gas-measurement flight yesterday afternoon, and detected elevated values of SO2 venting from the volcano's summit crater."


latest update:

Seismicity at Redoubt is varying in intensity but is still above background. Since early evening, we have observed two episodes of higher amplitude seismicity lasting several hours each.


AVO

[edit on 30-1-2009 by violet]


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 11:40 AM by Blaine91555
reply to post by freemindmine



They have a limited site up now. They were overwhelmed when this went national.




From what I can find out calling people locally its not panic time yet, but close. I personally need a few more hours to find more air filters for my truck which has a custom intake. I may have to fabricate some from heater filters to get by. The main danger is to our vehicles.

Latest Redoubt Observations: 2009-01-30 07:57:51
Seismicity at Redoubt is varying in intensity but is still well above background. We have seen higher amplitude seismicity for the past several hours but appears to be subsiding a bit at this time.


The Aviation Color Code remains at ORANGE and the Volcano Alert Level remains at WATCH. No eruption has occurred at this time.


From my reading last night, a major eruption is possible but unlikely. They expect it to be the same as the 89/90 one. We should get about an inch of ash and it should not be much more than an inconvenience cleaning up.

Worst case we will get a major ash fall which means roofs collapsing from the weight. My house would be OK, but I'm concerned about my garage which has a flat roof. I'm going to leave a ladder set up and a scoop shovel out in case.


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 11:46 AM by freemindmine
reply to post by Blaine91555



If she does blow I hope you keep safe, Where you there the last time she went off in 89/90? What was it like? I live in the UK so have never even been close to one of these bad boys.


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 12:20 PM by Blaine91555
reply to post by TrueAmerican



There is still a small possibility of a Major eruption which would be bad. Far more ash, buildings collapsing, pyroclastic flows which could be devastating to those on the Kenai Peninsula.

Ash is very heavy and just a few inches will collapse a roof.

It also depends on the wind direction at the time of the eruption. It could come right at us or away.

The dust masks were sold out yesterday. Fred Meyers had a plane with them coming but it got delayed until Monday I have some in my woodshop in the garage, so I'm good. You can also wet a cotton T-Shirt and get by with that.


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 12:22 PM by Blaine91555
reply to post by antar



The last one circled up through Fairbanks and down through Canada and some made it all the way to Texas along with the jet stream. There are maps of it when the AVO site gets back up.


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 12:26 PM by TrueAmerican
Originally posted by Blaine91555
While it is falling you stay indoors and wait it out.


Hmm, and so do you keep a measure somewhere and monitor how much is accumulating on the roof from time to time, especially if it rains?

I noticed on the webicorder graphs that the seismicity is coming in waves of increasing frequency and length. I'm thinking not much longer.
Look at this one.


Actually, I have seen a good bit more intense than that already over the past few days. But yeah, those are clearly, sustained beading harmonic tremors, although smaller than some others.

Makes me wonder if things are relative a bit. Like if it takes a good while for a smaller volcano like Redoubt to erupt with all these signs, will YS provide that much more warning relative to its size...?


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 12:30 PM by antar
reply to post by Blaine91555



Thanks I have a child that had RSV as a baby and I always worry about him...


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 12:34 PM by Blaine91555
reply to post by TrueAmerican



I only had one Semester of study on Volcano's in College back in the early 70's. I'm not really up to speed. Need a mineral identified, I'm your guy but this is out of my schooling.

I'm going more on the reports from AVO. We also get more info via the radio and such. On the local news they speak directly with those who are monitoring before they go on the air.

If they get the site back, it has a great list of possible scenarios which is where I got this info last night.

In Portland I saw it first hand and shoveled it first hand so to speak. I still have a jar of that ash. The ash is heavy. It is glass. I'd think 3 inches or more would be dangerous to structures. I know my roof will handle 5 feet of snow. If it gets out of hand I get on the roof and start shoveling.


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 12:56 PM by TrueAmerican
reply to post by Blaine91555



I really wish you the best and please stay safe. Remember if it rains while that stuff is on your roof, take extra care. It gets REAL heavy. They've probably measured best they can the magma volume, and are likely accurate in their predictions. But I hear you. You just never really know with these things, but I believe they are getting better at it all the time.



reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 01:30 PM by Blaine91555
reply to post by TrueAmerican



Thanks for the best wishes. I'll be fine. It is snowing which I'm sure won't help.


reply posted on 30-1-2009 @ 01:32 PM by Blaine91555
reply to post by antar



Yes, with a mask on. I don't know about shelters and now that you bring it up, I should check. I'll be fine. Luckily I have the money to go get a room in a new Hotel with its own power and a new structure if need be. Now that I think of it a spa tub would be cool Having money and a pocket full of plastic does ease the mind a bit.
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