posted on Jan, 8 2009 @ 02:25 PM
Senator John McCain started running for President after the election in 2004. He decided to court the conservatives this time instead of running as an
independent maverick of 2000. He even talked at Rev Jerry Falwell's university, and embraced the man and his ideas. This was noticed by his
independent base. At the time, it was thought there would be two serious challenges to his nomination in 2008: Sen George Allen of Virginia and Sen
Bill Frist of Tennessee.
Bill Frist was not on good terms with Trent Lott because of the Strom Thurman birthday remarks. While going for the social conservative vote, he
championed the Terry Schiavo case. This did not go well with the base, as their main complaint had been the federal courts taking over states
jurisdictions. He retired from the Senate, and faded into political obscurity.
George Allen was the tough opponent. He was well liked, and a Southern Conservative who had some appeal in the blue states. He was on his way to coast
to re-election in the Senate when he made the now infamous remarks. It is amazing how one tiny sentence can turn a frontrunner for the Republican
nomination into a has been so quickly. Once he lost the election, his political career was all but over.
Sen McCain had all kinds of problems during 2007. He was having trouble raising money and most importantly trouble with his staff. The rumors were
that he would pull out, but he said he would stay the course. A plan was needed, and Sen McCain decided to work the state that loved him in 2000: New
Hampshire. He did his very popular town hall meetings there, and saved money by not competing in Iowa. He needed a win, and NH usually loves an
underdog. With Mitt Romney stumbling in Iowa, Sen McCain won the NH primary. South Carolina was next, but Florida was the other win Sen McCain needed.
He started to get the endorsements needed, and the more moderate Florida gave him the win needed for the other states to fall for him. South Carolina
was a sweet victory as the more conservative voters split their votes between Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson. Sen McCain would of won Florida even if
he lost SC, but the victory was needed for fund raising. Super Tuesday was the death knell for all the other candidates, even thought some stayed in
The question should be what happened the time between February and September? There did not seem to be any real planning or strategy on how Sen McCain
was going to win. He was the best candidate picked as he did the best in the polls against the Democratic opposition. There was no talk of economy or
other issues than the war in Iraq, which was still very unpopular. This was the biggest mistake of the campaign. They should of been hunkered down
while the Democrats fought it out. They also thought the Democratic Party would not heal from its rift. The Democratic National Convention showed that
the rift was healed, and the Republicans needed a big boost.
Sarah Palin was that boost. Gov Palin had won an election for governor in Alaska as a relative unknown and was very popular. As soon as she was tapped
for Vice President, the conservative base was extremely happy and polls showed Sen McCain beating Barack Obama for the fist time. It was not to last,
as the economic meltdown started in mid-September. Had a economic plan been discussed during the spring and summer, Sen McCain would of had ideas on
what needed to be done. While some unfairly blame the running mate, she did the traditional job of attacking the Democratic nominee. There was no
message in a time when one was needed. He needed to get an economic policy team to work out a comprehensive plan to get the economy going. All the
signs were there of trouble ahead, and they were ignored.
After the election, the old maverick Sen McCain came back in view. He is going to cruise easily into re-election to the Senate in 2010. Sarah Palin is
eyeing the Senate in the 2010 election, and she would cruise easily to victory if she so decides.