First Conspiracy of 2009-“Gas prices! We’re all being ‘Hosed’ on both ends, and it hurts!”, page 1
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Topic started on 7-1-2009 @ 11:27 AM by OldThinker


Are oil prices and your SECURITY related?


"We are sending $700 billion a year to countries that don't like us very much and some of that money ends up in the hands of terrorist organizations. I will end this dependence on foreign oil,"

We have heard that from presidential candidates, texas oil man, natural gas experts, and many others.

Now I’m not an economist, so I am not sure if the numbers are perfect , stated above or mine stated below, hopefully some subsequent posters can give more insight…

With that said I will like to initiate a theory…initiate is the right word…and would welcome others to contribute…with the hope of finding some answers…to make us safer, and more in charge of our destiny…’our’ being the civilized countries/world.
First I’m going to make some assertions, and second I’m going to ask some questions. So here goes…

Take 2008 – Multiply $4.25 a gallon times every car’s typical use a month, times 12 months…and that equals….here’s where I need the help…say, I dunno, 1 Trillion? For lack of a better number…and at least its round for my next point…

Now take 1.75 a gallon and do the same math…

The DELTA….difference is….$590 billion…?...right?
(Caveat: Again…maybe the amounts are wrong but the delta ‘available’ is the same percentage…)

= = = = = = = =

1) Would the world have gone through the financial crisis if that 59 billion was available throughout the year?

2) Would the US as well?

3) Election difference?

4) Did those countries that charged/supplied oil/gas at 4.25 drop it to 1.75?

5) Were those that own/sell oil (who don’t favor the US) concerned that more T. Boone Pickens would come on the scene and innovate us? And drive the demand down? And their profits?


6) Where we hosed on the way ‘up’ with gas prices?

7) Where we hosed on the way ‘down’ of prices too?


8) Are we being manipulated?

9) Who’s doing it?


10) Why?

11) Have you heard less about alternatives in the last two months? Isn’t that what our enemies want?

Oh well, that my shot at it…

Thoughts ATS’ers?

[edit on 7-1-2009 by OldThinker]


reply posted on 7-1-2009 @ 12:14 PM by OldThinker
reply to post by muzzleflash




Thank you for the thoughts and links...

It makes me think of DEMAND...anyone know what the demand curve was over 2008?

Any graphics/trend chart out there?


That certainly would help the discussion...

Help anyone?

OT

Great input muzzleflash!


reply posted on 7-1-2009 @ 01:05 PM by Ant4AU
www.eia.doe.gov...

This is from the Energy Information Administration and it say that that short term outlook for global demand will actualy continue to decline.


reply posted on 7-1-2009 @ 01:31 PM by OldThinker
Originally posted by Ant4AU
www.eia.doe.gov...

This is from the Energy Information Administration and it say that that short term outlook for global demand will actualy continue to decline.



OK, I'll look it over later tonight...great!!

As a quicky blurb from the link...

Production. In 2008, domestic crude oil production is projected to average 4.9 million bbl/d, a decline of 130,000 bbl/d from last year


Am I reading this right...we are only down 130K from 4.9 million barrels? That's far less than 'significant' statistically...oh well, I'll did deeper later!

OT


reply posted on 7-1-2009 @ 01:56 PM by Ant4AU


This is a graph showing world oil production growth focast.



[edit on 7-1-2009 by Ant4AU]


reply posted on 7-1-2009 @ 04:56 PM by OldThinker
Originally posted by Ant4AU


This is a graph showing world oil production growth focast.



[edit on 7-1-2009 by Ant4AU]



Thanks, sweet feature...


How'd you do that?

??

It appears this is a 2007 December PROJECTION of 08 and 09...is this a prediction? Is it older?

OT

ps: Ant4AU, I'm surprized this topic has not gotten more attention? Maybe, it was the time of day I wrote it? Well, time will tell here shortly....


reply posted on 7-1-2009 @ 05:04 PM by Ant4AU
all you have to do is put and it puts the image in the post. Take out the underscores.

But by the chart I believe it is showing what it was in 07 08 and what they are predictinf for the begening of 09. If you go by the chart I believe that prediction was made in December of 08.

From what I read it sounds like the demand is going to be based more on the economy than anything else. It also is talking about all petrol products.

Hopefully the thread picks up.

[edit on 7-1-2009 by Ant4AU]



reply posted on 7-1-2009 @ 05:08 PM by OldThinker
reply to post by Ant4AU




OK, I'lll try later...

Notice the dotted line in that middle? Thought that said 08 and 09 WAS the 'projection'....I'll look at the site you linked to me earlier...after dinner!

OT

Either way...thanks, something tells me this is a long term learning process....appreciate your partnering!
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