Originally posted by cognoscente
This is no blame game. You all want to believe that.
It is common to have some propensity to believe someone only when they themselves (or the organizations they represent) follow the same moral conduct
in action as in speech. As intellectual beings, however, we have been gifted the ability to choose not to believe these so called visceral reactions
and so with this objective reasoning, we become free from any reliance on choosing our conclusions based solely on intuitive conjecture. With this
mind of ours, we can choose not to predicate all our own opinions on notions of an individual's ostensible character. What's even more interesting
is how all of you are relating that scientist to some government inner working, as if either institution has something to benefit by providing
accusations on such a controversial front as energy consumption, the burning of "dirty" fossil fuels and ultimately its impact on the
environment.
So what if it is a blame game? Personally, I think you're all deluded. What evidence leads us to believe this one scientist has been assigned some
deceptive task to shift the blame away from the U.S.? That you can't trust "the government"? That type of reasoning is hardly worth the time
required to type out the corresponding sentence.
Of course, I could be wrong seeing as how biology will tell us that one's intuition is not a simple lack of reasoning, but a fitness oriented ability
which has a firm basis in our evolutionary history. Then again, these essentially primordial psychological structures are undoubtedly losing a vast
proportion of their relevance, especially in the setting of our increasingly complex world, a world which must be validated by at least some modicum
of empirical analysis to be considered worthy.
We know we're taking this too far when a qualified authority can't even have his opinion tolerated because of our increasing tendency to associate
him with his organization, or his organization's vested interests.
You too, I'm sure, can see where all this will only persuade the creation of an ever more unenthusiastic society, one reluctant to trust any source
information for fear of how one's support might benefit the informant, or provider of said information. This type of society would naturally select
for deceptiveness, which would be the only way to transmit information that might be tolerated. This will lead to a decrease in said information's
value in terms of it being able to produce real benefits to society, and instead squander it upon the selected few. We will lose any standard upon
which to measure the progress of our quality of information, as people begin to disregard every major publication and every source of information from
any academically qualified individual or institution.
In my own "intuitive" pursuit in trusting this individual I am risking the collective well being of this little society right here on ATS. If I
provide the wrong information and we all believe it, then we will all lose. So many would choose not to believe me, some would choose to argue with
me. A third solution would be to call me naive! I know I might seem naive by writing this, but that is merely a product of your own evolutionary
psychology at work. It is your reasoning that a negative opinion might be more responsible, as it probabilistically more accurate. However, I am
confident in my opinion, because I hope to have critically analyzed the situation, its agents and its actors, before immediately warning the world
(and this board's members) that we can't trust this scientist. In this confidence I can derive my "naive" reasoning and still succeed.
There! I just had a conversation with myself... I'm so cool.
[edit on 6-1-2009 by cognoscente]
This is a good post. I thought it was nice of you to include that you could be wrong. there's not enough of that these days...anyways, I just have to
say regarding this post that I'm beginning to realize that many answers in life are usually quite simple because of the parallels of laws. When I
think of your point here (is it all in our head?), I draw a parallel in my head. Almost a metaphor. It goes something like:
"what is more likely; that I will be standing there and see something that didn't exist, or will I stand there and not see something that does?
Unless someone is extremely judgemental, they don't see things that don't exist in nature (things can include motives, imaginary spaceships, or
opinions...anything et al). If a conspiracy was anything, say, a truck, would it be more likely for me to miss the truck going by, or for me to
imagine it went by when it didnt'? The answer is obviously the former.
Don't mistake this for evidence. The evidence is too clouded in most conspiracies to form an opinion that holds up to selfscrutiny. Well at least for
me. This is just an example (and undersstand this is difficult to put on paper) of how a seemingly crazy person does indeed have his own system of
checks and balances, and frankly, by the time there is empirical evidence (withing this subject anyways) it will be much too late.