posted on Jan, 6 2009 @ 10:40 AM
Over the last two decades, I have been a lead negotiator on matters of defense and intelligence for the US Govm't. When unsuccessful as a negoiator,
I make recommendations to upper echaleons of the US Govm't. Usually, the next steps are militarily/covert.
I have spent years studying the conflict and psyche of Arab and Jew. I have concluded a few simple truths on the nature of things and would like to
share with the board. All arguments are emotionally charges and we all have personal bias like religion, political affiliation, etc. I have removed
these and conclude this about the Arabs and Israelis. No matter which "side" you are on, I think most will agree on these when the emotion is taken
1. Nothing in life is inalienable. After meeting Arafat, I recall him always invoking the "inalienable rights of the Palestinian people." Couple
this with the idea of "self-determination" and we see the creation of a myth. This is applicable for just about everything from you job to the
sovereignty of the nation-state.
2. To gain that which you call inalienable, you must
a. win it through militarily force
b. negotiate for it
c. be lucky and have it given to you.
3. The Palestinians are:
a. unable to win these "rights" through militarily force
b. unwilling to negotiate for it until recently. Fatah has shown much willingness to negotiate. Hamas has not. End of story.
c. unlucky people because
1. the Holocaust happened
2. American Jews have money and media to support the cause of Israel
3. their own demise - they used poor strategies to portray themselves in the West, ie. Munich, Hijackings, suicide
It is my conclusion, that for a fact, Israelis are European and have a strong notion of nation-state. They know how to survive. Arabs are communal and
will never unify the calphate - Sunni and #e which they need to do to defeat Israel from a military point.
Obviously, this balance keeps us from an "ultimate Jihad." Hamas will be defeated (no Hamas moderate, which is why Israel has no choice but to
Hezbollah will not be defeated. Justice and proportionality matters not. Tel Aviv will be nuked, eventually. Most likely by 2030. Palestinians
will continue to die by Israelis and their own swords with peak and trough low intensity warfare.
Be safe and be thankful for the US