posted on Jan, 2 2009 @ 04:49 PM
I've been following the other thread about Yellowstone activity since its early stages and this 'swarm' event is something that is not going away.
I thought that it had finally calmed down enough a few days ago but that was for only a few hours and now activity is continuing with somewhat
increased activity. I do not think there is sufficient information available to us to sound the 'alarm' just yet, but this is certainly something
to keep an eye on. Here is my impression on the information presented thusfar:
- There have been hundreds of little earthquakes in the area which have been small and shallow.
- There is history of both hydrothermal and volcanic activity at the site.
- If a hydrothermal explosion occurs: a lot of steam, rock, dirt goes kablewy and that is about it.
- If a volcanic eruption occurs at the site, it could impact life worldwide.
- No swarm of this intensity and duration has been witnessed by man at the site before.
- Some of the seismographs are indicating what appears (to untrained novices such as myself) to be harmonic tremors which points to underground flow
of water, steam or magma.
- The web bot did predict 'language' which is consistent with a major event of this type and scale to occur - albeit earlier in December.
Now the good news:
- The self-proclaimed 'geologist' in the video is not an official for any reputable agency.
- All activity has been below a Magnitude 4 on the Richter Scale.
- There have been no warnings from any official agency regarding this activity and MSM has reported on the story a bit over the past few days.
I should also note that there is no consensus on ATS regarding proper policy to deal with the release of information regarding an event of this size.
In other words, should the gov't learn that a major eruption is eminent, should they declare the emergency or just let it happen? The dilemma stems
from the fact that a large eruption of this site would result in most of the middle of the USA to become a wasteland covered in ash and debris.
Hundreds of thousands to millions would die in the first several days. After that, the ash would continue to blow eastward as gasses seep into the
stratosphere causing a global decrease in temperature. So what would the point of a warning be? It would only cause panic and would not provide any
real protection for those at immediate risk.
My impression is that indeed something is moving toward the surface or a path of least resistance. With the current data, it is not possible to
determine if it could be an underground pressure release which will fizzle out, or an explosion of some sort. In my humble opinion, I would guess
that any release to the surface will be hydrothermal in nature due to the relative stability in the region preceding the events of the past few
In summary, keep a level head and keep an eye on the news coming from USGS. Any news about ground deformations, gas releases or 'booms' in the air
should be indicators of something big happening soon. Otherwise, it is probably 'stuff' moving underground and may just end with a new geyser or GT