reply to post by ice1300
If the US fragments I doubt it will take that shape or be influenced very much from the outside.
The southwestern US could be dominated by Mexicans, but it would not be dominated by Mexico. The Mexican government can barely influence their own
country.
Canada is not going to dominate anyone.
Texas and Alaska both have the resources to become major powers. Russia could try to take Alaska, it would be Afghanistan part two. Alaska has the
highest amount of military veterans of any state and most of the population is well armed.
Texas if anything, would become a dominant power. It could easily expand its influence into the Southern US and probably even into Mexico.
The Inter Mountain West, aka the Mormon Corridor is another potential powerhouse with vast reserves of tar sand and oil shale. The Republic of Deseret
could easily become a reality.
Deseret and Texas would be very powerful players in a post united America.
The most powerful entity that would emerge out of any fragmentation would be the Northeast Corridor. These are basically the original 13 colonies and
foundation of the United States. Much of the world's wealth is concentrated here. It would be in the same position that Russia is in post Soviet
politics. It would still dominate much of North America as its sphere of influence.
The fragmentation of the US would only build momentum for an EU style continental union probably based out of New York City.
This researcher needs to look closely at history and the structure of the American society for a plausible hypothesis and place it in to context.
The EU, China, and Russia will not be any position in the near future to dominate the US.
If we went down in 2010, we would drag the planet down with us. It would be like the fall of Rome and a new age of darkness and strife would envelop
the world.
I personally don't think we'll go down that quick. The 2020s would be more plausible.