reply to post by Shirakawa
Scratch the prediction. I only blurted it out. I had been mulling over the activity on and around July 7th. The problem is that I am dyslexic. I mixed
up apogee and perigee. In the army I was contstantly being sanctioned for mixed up my left foot and right foot when marching. Sorry.
The rest of the links are about the tomography of hot spots. RavenLogic accused me of providing bad information. I said Yellowstone is not a plume.
The plume theory is not supported by the data. The tomography (basically it's an X-ray of the magma chamber) shows they are shallow formations. They
do not originate from deep within the mantle. The hypothesis emerging from the data is that there are cracks in the lithosphere (the crust). Not
upwells from within the mantle which creates pockets within the lithosphere. The tomography from Iceland, Hawaii, and Yellowstone all show shallow
origins and are not homgeneous molten magma chambers. Like the chambers described in the Plume Theory.
In Jake Lowenstern's You Tube video, An Unscripted (motherf&*% unscripted) Interview, he states that the YVO geologists believe that eruption in near
future is unlikely because the chamber is not homogeneous. They even go so far as to say that it may never erupt again because there isn't enough
molten material to have enough energy to erupt. But this is an assumption which isn't based on a fact or all the data. It is based on the Plume
Theory which isn't supported by the tomography of any other hot spot. As RavenLogic described, geologists believe the plume created chambers which
blasted a chain of caldera over the last 15 million years. But there is no evidence that all the chambers were all fully molten magma chambers. They
all could have had very similiar tomographic signatures. The geologists are not basing their conclusions on any historical findings, and they seem to
be ignoring the fact that there is no homogeneous hot spots existing anywhere in the world today. It's kinda like the Black Swan Problem. Only in
reverse. They are concluding Black Swans exist even before the discovery. That's my major beef. The YVO reassures the public that Yellowstone is not
a threat, but it's not based on the data. They are basing their conclusions on The Plume Theory, which is in the process of being abandoned because
there is no data to support it.
Bad information. I've been accused of bad information. I'm just providing the data provided by the geologists. I don't blame RavenLogic for
believing Yellowstone is a plume. I also thought this to be the fact because I read all the same information. I didn't just read it, I searched and
searched and searched for every scrap I could find. It was just a fluke that I decided to read an article I stumbled across in my email. It was only
after I found the research from the Iceland Project did I realize there was a debate about the new data and that there was a real possibility that the
Plume Theory wasn't valid. And I've concluded it's not valid according to the data. That's science. You take the data and if it does fit the model
for the hypothesis, you disregard the hypothesis and try to determine what the numbers are telling you. The fact is there is no plume under
Yellowstone. And if there is tomography of a hot spot showing a plume from somewhere in the world, please provide me with that information.
