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Five earthquakes of magnitude 9 or above have been recorded during the past 45 years, which averages out to one every decade. It turns out that earthquake occurrences seem to follow what is called a power-law distribution, meaning that if there is on average on magnitude 9 earthquake every ten years somewhere in the world, then on average there should be one magnitude 8 earthquake every year, 10 magnitude 7 earthquakes every year, and 100 magnitude 6 earthquakes every year. So, if someone "predicts" that a magnitude 6 earthquake will occur somewhere in the world during the next week, don't be too impressed if it happens because random probability tells us that there should be a magnitude 6 earthquake somewhere in the world every 365/100 = 3.65 days! In reality, things are a little more complicated. But, you get the picture.
Originally posted by Stormdancer777
Originally posted by asmeone2
Oh my. I suppose all I can say, is Jesus must be coming
That's the first thought that crossed my mind.
Originally posted by jasdanmoo
Quite simply, look at the listing of quakes this was taken from:
earthquake.usgs.gov...
As time passes, what is considered "of general historic interest" changes.
Look at this map:
earthquake.usgs.gov...
I know the time frame isn't the same, but I guarantee you in the year or two near when they happened, these would be of more interest than they are now.
Originally posted by downtown436
reply to post by badmedia
No kidding man.
These are only big quakes 6.0 or bigger. There has certainly been a dramatic increase of big quakes in the last 10 years.
Originally posted by Blaine91555
The person who put the information together should have pointed that out in the interest of intellectual honesty and not allowed it to be presented without all available information pertinent to the claim. After all their income relies some what on using fear to sell.
Originally posted by downtown436
reply to post by Phage
Dude your stats only show the last 10 years.