Indian Retailation in response to Terror Attacks?Possible Military Scenarios

reply to post by WestPoint23

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it also looks at though elements within India have connections with those invilved in this attack - so will india go after its own?

reply to post by WestPoint23

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Quite right- I think that will be the source of any potential conflict.

If India finds clear evidence leading to terrorists within Pakistan (eg the GPS navigator they found on the hijacked boat had a course plotted back to Pakistan); or even worse if India finds evidence that the ISI or Pak Navy was directly involved in training the terrorists, there will be hell to pay.

The Indian politicians are already facing tremendous hostility from the populace over what they see as a massive intel and admin failure. Thus if the politicians find any evidence that there are training camps in Pakistan responsible for this, they will need to act swiftly and ruthlessly.

The options are:

1. Covert sabotage/ bombing of the camps by RAW

2. Get the US drones to "stray" further into Pakistan and take out the camps, if the US agrees.

3. Ask Pakistan's government to take out the camps


These are the only three real options that India has. If Pakistan fails to comply, and fails to take out the terrorist camps (lets face it, they haven't bothered doing it at any point in the last half century), then and only then will India have no choice but to attempt surgical strikes on the camps.

If Pakistan interprets these surgical strikes as "first strikes" or acts of war, then they may retaliate in kind.

In my opinion such a scenario is the only realistic tinderbox for a fire to start in the region.

One thing is for certain though : Inaction is not an option. This time no amount of talking will satiate the public... they're already calling it "India's 9/11 moment".

reply to post by Harlequin

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well if they're sitting in Pakistan, yes! India was already going after its 'own' at an internal level..
However in this case, it is mostly a pure cross border terror export in full bloom
The connections being drawn to hindutva extremists and the likes of a soft coup by the Indian Army etc.. here on etc are hogwash. Nobody's denying that hindutva terrorists exist in India. They are not being given an easy time either..

But all this is off topic;

wstpt,

Yes I agree; it would be 'easier' for ISAF/NATO etc to take charge of the cleaning act in the Pak terror areas, as compared to India taking up the task.
IMHO India is not quite prepped for a >80% success-rate surgical ops conflict here in any sense. Not technologically or logistically. India will get pulled into an open war very very soon.

CW; any idea on the operational corps deployed on the Afghan border? Also any insider info on the Babur operational status?

We need this info for any realistic scenario.

Its the XI Corps in Peshawar. They've been fighting in Pakistans North West Frontier since the US invasion of Afganistan so you can rule our inital involvement unless the Pakistanis redeploy like the article I posted said.

As for the Babur, I would say it hasn't reached IOC but if a conflict started Pakistan would use its 20-30 already produced. Haven't had any confirmation whether a nuclear payload is ready so its role should be conventional

reply to post by Daedalus3

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Both Countries go to war
both Countries Use Nukes

India is partialy destroyed as main Cities are only Nuked
Pakistan Almost all of it

China laughs from the side line as their major competetor has the biggest blow in History and we get our Telicoms sent to china



[edit on 11-2-2009 by bodrul]