reply to post by MOFreemason
Sounds like Berkland uses the "shotgun" technique. Throw enough lead around and you're bound to get a bullseye once in while.
I've spent a great deal of time and effort in evaluating the predictions made by Jim Berkland in his monthly newsletters. He predicts for 4 areas
and each area has the same magnitude range every month. His predictions are well suited to the effort because they are identical except for dates.
This means that the probability of success is identical which is necessary for statistical evaluation of probability.
Source
Berkland retired in 1994 and continues to be a voice in the wilderness. Andy Michael, a geophysicist with the USGS in Menlo Park said his agency
has "never been able to find any support for his claims. "Michael said that Berkland predicts so many quakes that he's bound to be right on
occasion. "Based on the moon, he makes a prediction of something to happen every month," Michael said. "There are studies of lunar tides that show
you can find an extremely small effect, but it's not large enough to be useful. The literature goes back decades."
Source
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reply to post by Phage
Well after reading your post, I'm glad I didn't stay up late last night just to hear him!
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I saw these lights around 7:45 PM 'till about 8:40 PM on 11/19/08 near Allentown PA. I think they started earlier but I didn't go out and notice
them 'till then. I saw 7 very bright white ones. One green dim one in the distance. First I noticed one and it looked like a bright spotlight was
shining straight up. I was driving and looked for a light source on the ground - none. I was not near town when I saw this one. Then I noticed there
where other lights as I drove more. They were just randomly scattered every direction I looked. They looked like they all started at the same
altitiude above the ground.. not very high up they started. They all were the same size wide. The pictures I saw online were of many together. The
lights I saw were not close together. They were maybe a mile or more apart. There were some clouds near some of them and others had no clouds near
them at all and you could see the stars above them. I parked my car and was standing almost directly below one amazed at how it just went so staight
up and where it started on the bottom was so bright.
I have lived in Northern Vermont just by the border of Canada and have seen the Aurora very often. There was only one time I saw it look sort of like
this and it was summer time. The shafts of light that time didn't stay in one spot like these PA ones. Those VT ones came down towards the ground and
then went back up disappearing as they moved up. The PA lights just looked like a spotlight was up high suspended in the air shining white light
upwards in shafts of light.
I thought it was just Aurora, but since then I was commented by someone that it looked like H.A.A.R.P. and now reading about that..I'm not so sure
what I saw. It was a little eery unlike the awesomeness of the Aurora. It seemed to be like they were all just too much like each other all shining
staight up and the same size. The Auroras I have seen move, sometimes very slow, but still move or change in some way. These PA ones stayed stationary
(the shafts of light themselves), but the light inside them sort of seemed to flow about a little bit.
I don't know... but it sure was unusual.
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These are Light Pillars an atmospheric effect of ice crystals above bright lights. Even the
US Army is fooled by 'em.
WG3
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Before my post gets misinterpreted, i'd like to point out that "False Aurora" and "Pillars" are the same thing (check the links i've provided)
Ice pillars are caused by ice crystals in the air which intercept urban lights and create pillars of light. Also know as false aurora.
Conditions were perfect for this display at 3 degrees.
Image was taken in Hinckley, Ohio on the morning of February 20th. Cannon 20D mounted on an aluminum ladder 20sec exposure, ISO 400
www.buytelescopes.com...
If i'm correct, the definition of "False Aurora" is mostly used by photographers, but it's definately the same phenomenon.
[edit on 22/11/2008 by internos]
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reply to post by Wertdagf
Im a proffesional photo retoucher. Those pictures were not photoshopped as far as i can tell.
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I live in Pennsylvania, but I have never seen anything like that before, I haven't a clue what it is. But northern lights sounds believable.
[edit on 16-12-2008 by veryrandomannonomous]
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