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The whole international system—as constructed following WWII—will be revolutionized. Not only will new players—Brazil, Russia, India and China— have a seat at the international high table, they will bring new stakes and rules of the game.
The unprecedented transfer of wealth roughly from West to East now under way will continue for the foreseeable future.
Unprecedented economic growth, coupled with 1.5 billion more people, will put pressure on resources—particularly energy, food, and water—raising the specter of scarcities emerging as demand outstrips supply.
The potential for conflict will increase owing partly to political turbulence in parts of the greater Middle East.
Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World
As with the earlier NIC efforts—Global Trends 2010 and Global Trends 2015—the project's primary goal is to provide US policymakers with a view of how the world developments could evolve, identifying opportunities and potentially negative developments that might warrant policy action. We also hope this paper stimulates a broader discussion of value to educational and policy institutions at home and abroad.
We consulted experts from around the world in a series of regional conferences to offer a truly global perspective.
Mapping the Global Future 2020 Project
The NIC 2020 Project held a workshop on the "Changing Nature of Warfare" in Washington DC. Key topics and questions focused on:
Surveying the prospects for conflict around the world between today and 2020.
What are the contemporary characteristics of war that are likely to persist into the future? How can we tell, are there signposts? And, what are the characteristics of contemporary conflict that are likely to be consigned to the dustbin of history by 2020?
What are the emerging characteristics of war?
Changing Nature of Warfare
International Futures (IFs) is a large-scale, long-term, integrated global modeling system. It represents demographic, economic, energy, agricultural, socio-political, and environmental subsystems for 182 countries interacting in the global system. The central purpose of IFs is to facilitate exploration of global futures through alternative scenarios. The model is integrated with a large database containing values for its many foundational data series since 1960. Through this web site IFs is freely available to users both on-line and in downloadable form.
Using International Futures (IFs)
November 20, 2008
With All Eyes on Obama, Port of Los Angeles Security Under Control of Chinese President’s Son
The Port has purchased with $1.7 million American tax dollars via a “port security grant” awarded by the U.S. Department of Homeland security, a mobile X-ray scanning system, mounted on a Mack Truck chassis. The scanning system is owned by Nuctech Company Limited, owned outright by Hu Haifeng, the son of Chinese President Hu Jintao.