Are credit cards the next collapse?, page 1
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Topic started on 29-10-2008 @ 11:13 AM by grover

Are credit cards the next collapse?


www.mcclatchydc.com
By Christina Rexrode | Charlotte Observer
First came trouble with mortgages, then home equity loans and commercial real estate. Now, banks are starting to worry about credit cards.

As the economy slows and unemployment rises, consumers are defaulting on credit-card payments more often. And though that trend is unlikely to create a crisis in line with the mortgage fallout, it's still a headache for banks that are already hurting.

U.S. banks charged off 5.47 percent of all credit card loans in the second quarter, according to the Federal Reserve, representing some $50 billion that they'll likely never collect. That's up from 3.85 percent the year before, and that is a movement that's on the radar of Ken Lewis, chief executive of Charlotte's Bank of America Corp.

Asked in a recent TV interview if credit-card debt would be “the next shoe to drop” for the banking industry, Lewis replied: "It, in some ways, already is," adding that such losses have risen "pretty substantially."
(visit the link for the full news article)


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 11:57 AM by Crakeur
reply to post by grover



you know, cutting them up doesn't close your account out. I recently had my credit report run for the purposes of a banking license and it came back with two things that brought down my score. Two available lines of credit from old cards. I haven't had activity on either account in over 4 or 5 years but the accounts were never closed so the credit limits are still there.



[edit on 29-10-2008 by Crakeur]


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 11:58 AM by TheRedneck
IMO, the only thing that has kept credit card companies form collapsing so far is their high interest rates. Let's face it, when you sit down over a pile of monthly bills and realize there's too much month left at the end of the money, who gets to wait? Food? No one wants to go hungry, although it can usually be trimmed. Electricity? Hardly. Water? Nope, absolutely necessary. Gas? How else do you get to work? Car payment? Nope, sorry, need that to get to work too. House payment? In a market where foreclosures are the norm, that's ridiculous.

You are left with one last pile of bills, the unsecured debt, where nothing gets immediately repossessed: the credit card bills. So you have a higher default rate, which is used to justify the higher interest rates. The higher rates mean more profit for the company in god times, and the ability to handle larger default rates in bad times. Now, however, in terrible times, the default rate is climbing as more and more people are finding themselves sitting down to that pile of bills that there is not enough money to cover.

I just heard this morning on CNN some advice from a credit counselor, who stated that should the Fed cut the interest rate, consumers should watch out for changes to their credit card accounts. Specifically, she warned that companies may switch variable-rate agreements to fixed-rate agreements in order to minimize losses form dropping interest rates! Oh, now this is a great idea: just let the company pick whichever arrangement they want to use when they want to use it. She also mentioned that they are required to allow an 'opt-out' option period prior to the change, so if anyone has credit cards and is reading this, read the fine print on every single piece of paper you receive! Falling interest rates favor the consumer in variable-rate accounts, so as long as interest rates are dropping or expected to drop, keep the variable rate. If you wish to opt out to a more secure fixed rate, wait until the interest rates fall, then change over.

I am amazed that companies are allowed to even do this. This should not be an 'opt-out' option, but rather an 'opt-in' option.

TheRedneck


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:13 PM by OuttaHere
I have one credit card with about $100 on it. I usually pay it off but then I use it again because some transactions are just easier with a card.

So a credit card crunch isn't going to hurt me much.

Credit cards the way they are used today are a really bad idea anyway. There is a lot to be said for the old fashioned lifestyle, where credit was only used if you were starving.

However, since there is a pretty good chance that we will all be starving soon, I guess this could be a problem.

I have a neighbor who makes about $60,000.00 a year. They have two homes, a Hummer and a second vehicle, are currently totally remodeling home #1, have already installed new windows and a new air conditioner, are planning some new landscaping, and buy everything they want, whenever they want. I can only guess that they owe like 10 times their net worth and have to take out cash advances on credit cards to pay their other credit cards. Crazy. But even crazier is that they choose to do this rather than change their lifestyle. And they have KIDS! What are they planning to leave for them? I don't know.

My husband and I chose to be poor so that I could stay home and raise our kids. It has been a big sacrifice - we get to watch everyone else we know buy new cars, fix up their homes, go on nice vacations, etc., while we drive a beat up old pickup truck and our house falls apart. In our nice suburban neighborhood we look like the "bad seed". People probably drive by our house and think we are some kind of losers, but they are wrong; we are good, clean-cut people who choose to live within our means. Most people today, at least in America, have NO IDEA how to do this. What happens to them when the credit runs out? They have to live in a run-down house and drive a beat up car.


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:20 PM by whiteraven

platinum and black card holders
reply to
post by Crakeur




If the black card holders are defaulting this could be bad.

A black card is given to the very rich, and not just any rich person, was my understanding of "Black Express".

Scary.



reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:23 PM by whiteraven

I have a neighbor who makes about $60,000.00 a year
reply to
post by OuttaHere



How can they live this large on 60k????

They have to be in debt big time or are they crack dealers?!


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:26 PM by 38181
reply to post by OuttaHere



Its called "keeping up with the Joneses" and I believe that its burned into us by big corporations by ways of the good old telly. I love to sit back and watch these idiots around me trying to out do each other every year by buying a new SUV or Fancy Juguar or land Rover, knowing that they have maybe a month or two to bankruptcy. Even my next door neighbor bragging about the thousand dollar designer purse she just bought knowing they live off a teachers salary.


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:46 PM by Illusionsaregrander
At least one person in economics is thinking the same way the OP is.

www.nytimes.com...

But most important, in Roubini’s opinion, is to realize that the problem is deeper than the housing crisis. “Reckless people have deluded themselves that this was a subprime crisis,” he told me. “But we have problems with credit-card debt, student-loan debt, auto loans, commercial real estate loans, home-equity loans, corporate debt and loans that financed leveraged buyouts.” All of these forms of debt, he argues, suffer from some or all of the same traits that first surfaced in the housing market: shoddy underwriting, securitization, negligence on the part of the credit-rating agencies and lax government oversight. “We have a subprime financial system,” he said, “not a subprime mortgage market.”


He is now famous for calling this financial meltdown, though he is disparaged by some for calling it way too early. He has been talking about it since 2004.

I think we have only begun to see the fallout from this whole mess. Regardless how nice the market has looked this week.
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