Gallup Stunner - Obama Down To 2% Lead Nationally! , page 2


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reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:03 PM by bknapple32
reply to post by AndrewTB



andrew how did you get your electoral prediction?? realclearploitics.com successfully predicted the bush win despite polls last election. Almost perfectly....

this year... rcp has obama well over 300 WITH the toss up states.



reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:04 PM by bknapple32
reply to post by bknapple32



I think the most telling sign is McCain only holds a 5 point lead in his HOME STATE.


reply posted on 29-10-2008 @ 01:30 PM by vor78
reply to post by bknapple32



I'd venture a guess that he wins by a bit more than that in Arizona next week, but still, I wouldn't expect a huge win there, even if it is his home state. Bush only won it by 6 and 10 in 2000 and 2004, respectively. Arizona leans conservative and is a fairly reliable conservative state on election day, but it is not overwhelmingly conservative like Utah, Idaho or Wyoming.
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