posted on Oct, 27 2008 @ 05:18 AM
I'm not trying to take sides here as far as Dems or Reps this november...
However the bradley effect theory is only accounts for less than a 5% difference between the polls and the actual vote.
5%... that means for every 100,000 people who show up for the huge rally, 5,000 decide not to and stay home...
I'm not saying the bradley effect is real, or it is a factor here, I'm just stating that we don't honestly know until the election results are in,
and experts go to work evaluating.
For what its worth, there are also theories of a "reverse bradley effect" happening this time around... where people in some of the less tolerant
areas of the country won't admit to pollsters that they are voting for Obama, but ultimately will in the long run... that might be something to look
at as well...
My honest prediction, for what its worth... McCain by a slim margin... not because he wins, not because he's a better candidate, but simply because
he's got the same swagger and certainty that bush had when he "knew" he was going to win florida.
I truly believe this election has been rigged, and the deck has already been stacked.