I understand that 95% of black people will vote for the democrat this year. That's up by 10% from last time. But, the democrat will lose 30% anyway considering the Bradley effect and the anti-Obama Hillerites out there. McCain picks up the 10% undecided vote and game over.

The Bradley Effect has been disproven in recent years.

In the past, it was found that Americans would lie to pollsters of different races, so to not seem racist.

Now, people just don't care. They tell it as it is. Thus, the Bradley Effect is obsolete.

This also means Americans are more comfortable in their outward appearance of racism?

The idiocy on this thread is cracking me up.

Also, Areal51 is ripping people apart. That's not helping my laughing problem.

Originally posted by Sublime620
What credibility do you have left to stand on?

I just stick to referencing facts. But I understand that you aren't interested in any of that. : )

I live in Missouri and its a battle ground state, polls released today have Obama and McCain tied here. (just heard it on the local news)

We hear reports of voter registration fraud right, has anyone even considered the fact that polls could be fraud as well. now hear me out.

In the last week I have received 2-5 calls a night from pollsters. I hang up on them. Its none of their business who i'm thinking about voting for. whats to stop them after i hang up from going ahead and filling in the questions? Not A DAMN THING!

Also you need to look at the questions asked in the polls and who they called. Polls that have one candidate leading the other candidate over the margin of error usually had called registered voters from that candidates party.

Also in the primaries, you didn't have the independent voters voting! to vote in primaries and caucuses your suppose to be a registered Dem or Repub to vote for a candidate!

And yes i know quite a few independent Voters that are still undecided so no one can say for sure either candidate has it in the bag. this election the winner will not be by a landslide they will win by at most 2% of the vote.

The bradly effect could play a role in this election. Most people are to worried about what other people think of them, so if they see in the polls that 1 candidate is leading they will publicly say they will vote for that candidate. But alot of things run through a persons mind once they are alone in that Ballot box and they usually vote their conscience, not what they tell a pollster or friend or family member.

in the case of this election you have a black candidate running for POTUS, not the first one either, Jessie Jackson ran in the 80's. Obama is being reported in the media as being in the lead of the polls, So people are afraid of being labeled a racist if before the election they say they are going to vote for McCain or write someone in. But once your in that ballot box your anonymous and will cast your real vote.