Hi Folks.
Most of you must be thoroughly fed up of all the market news over the last month or two.
I hate to start yet another thread about how the DOW is tanking, but I think there is going to be a significant downward spike today.
Here is an auto-updating graph from Bloomberg :
Today's selloff comes on the back of some pretty bizarre pieces of news.
Credit Derivative holders to bring another fresh round of writedowns
to the tune of $1 trillion
Hungary jacks its interest rate up by 3%!
Wachovia posts a QUARTERLY loss of $24 billion
UK stocks have taken a hammering in general, mining stocks have been slaughtered (13% decline).
All the signs point to the cliche "long, deep recession", which was considered a relic of the past.
I think rather than see any severe drops, we will see a seed change in the outlook of the world economy in the next 3-5 years. The DOW will settle
significantly lower than it is at the moment (7000 is not unforeseeable).
The only chance for armageddon is if China gets pissed that the dollar's debt is now at 11 trillion, and yet it strengthened by miles against the
basket this month. If China decides to dump its holding of dollars (it may switch to the euro at this opportune time), then the USA is in trouble. And
by trouble I mean finished.
[edit on 22-10-2008 by 44soulslayer]