posted on Oct, 14 2008 @ 02:25 PM
A friend of mine came up with a nice idea recently about this. His idea was to have a website/section of a forum for polls based on predictions, so
for example, there would be a poll "Will GFL spaceships appear to the world on the 14th?", and after the event (or non-event), everybody who voted
correctly would get +5 points, and everyone who voted wrong would get -5 points. If you ran a poll per week or something, over a year or so people
would build up quite a nice 'Predictive Power' score that would be shown on their profile. That way you'd know who the members are that are most
accurate at predicting things.
Of course the system/questions would have to be designed well so that there's not too much argument about which side was correct, and mostly they
would have to be quite short term things, but I thought it was a nice idea.
More on the subject of your post, I agree with the general idea of banning people who deliberately mislead, but I think you have to be careful with
that, as it's hard to prove, and on a site like ATS where it's very open, I think it would be best to assume people are sincere in their belief
(doesn't mean you have to believe their story, just that they believe it)
I think ATS have generally got the balance correct, from my understanding of the rules, not just anyone can post a prediction, they have to be either
from a well known person, or at least have their own blog/website, as that shows they are serious, or at least are putting effort into what they do
(well, we could argue about that a little, but...