reply to post by Fromabove
Do you have a linky poo? If not you are stinky poo. Anyone can fabricate numbers; for instance, almost all NBA players are going to vote for Obama
because they smoke Mary Jane and play basketball just like him.
Am I wrong?
[edit on 6-10-2008 by pluckynoonez]
The polls are wrong - McCain is winning - and here's why.., page 2
privacy
reply posted on 6-10-2008 @ 05:07 PM by ANoNyMiKE
Barack Obama has risen to his highest-ever level in both our electoral college and popular vote projections, principally on the strength of his commanding lead in the national tracking polls. Gallup, Rasmussen and Hotline each have Obama ahead by 7 points, and Research 2000 has him up by 12 (Battleground, which has generally had the most conservative numbers for Obama, does not publish on the weekend). Whether or not the McCain campaign's new round of attacks will have a significant impact on Obama's numbers we shall see, but they're going to have to knock him off a fairly high pedestal.
FiveThirtyEight.com
[edit on 6-10-2008 by ANoNyMiKE]
reply posted on 6-10-2008 @ 05:09 PM by dooper
reply to post by stikkinikki
How can it get worse? That's what a lot of folks thought about Nixon and Ford. And sure as hell - Jimmy Carter!
What a disaster!
How can it get worse? That's what a lot of folks thought about Nixon and Ford. And sure as hell - Jimmy Carter!
What a disaster!
reply posted on 6-10-2008 @ 08:43 PM by jam321
reply to post by rapinbatsisaltherage
I just don't buy too much in polls. In a way they disenfranchise votes. There are many people who register but don't vote. Some are pushed to register and others register via free rap events like the one they recently held in Florida. But unless they vote, registration is mean less. In addition, if the poll is too high at the end, regardless of who is leading, their supporters may be inclined to not vote under the impression that their candidate is definitely going to win. The electoral college is even more complicated. I do believe it was the 2004 polls that had trouble and had predicted things wrong. As far as this poll based on all that has gone on, I would assume it to be correct. But it is usually based on a couple of thousands out of the 120-150 million voters registered to vote. May the best one win.
I just don't buy too much in polls. In a way they disenfranchise votes. There are many people who register but don't vote. Some are pushed to register and others register via free rap events like the one they recently held in Florida. But unless they vote, registration is mean less. In addition, if the poll is too high at the end, regardless of who is leading, their supporters may be inclined to not vote under the impression that their candidate is definitely going to win. The electoral college is even more complicated. I do believe it was the 2004 polls that had trouble and had predicted things wrong. As far as this poll based on all that has gone on, I would assume it to be correct. But it is usually based on a couple of thousands out of the 120-150 million voters registered to vote. May the best one win.
reply posted on 6-10-2008 @ 09:20 PM by fmcanarney
there are 200,000,000.0 eligable voters in america.
Less than fifty percent are registered to vote which leaves
100,000,000.0
Fifty percent of those registered to vote will vote (note very very liberal figure) which leaves 50,000,000.0
So a president will be elected by 26,000,000.0 people in USA which is
thirteen percent of eligable to vote population.
How does that smoke in your pipe?
Pitable figures and
www.reuters.com...
Less than fifty percent are registered to vote which leaves
100,000,000.0
Fifty percent of those registered to vote will vote (note very very liberal figure) which leaves 50,000,000.0
So a president will be elected by 26,000,000.0 people in USA which is
thirteen percent of eligable to vote population.
How does that smoke in your pipe?
Pitable figures and
23.9 percent of the adult U.S. population identifies itself as Catholic. This tallies with estimates by the U.S. Catholic Church itself54,492,000.0 Americans are Catholic.
www.reuters.com...
reply posted on 6-10-2008 @ 09:32 PM by jam321
reply to post by fmcanarney
numbers don't add up. If not mistaken about 120 million voted in last election which was about 60% of registered voters.
numbers don't add up. If not mistaken about 120 million voted in last election which was about 60% of registered voters.
reply posted on 6-10-2008 @ 11:23 PM by fmcanarney
reply to post by jam321
Your figures:
120,000,000 is 60% of registered voters which gives us
200,000,000 is 100% of registered voters.
US population= 301,139,947 of which 25% are not adults which gives us
225,000,000 adults in USA.So you think that all eligable adult Americans minus 25,000,000 are registered? (there are 25,000,000 felon adults not eligable alone) (not even including illegal aliens and other non eligable parties).
You think that 88.88% of eligable adult Americans are registered to vote? 88.88%???
I doubt that 50.00% of eligable voters are registered.
I take the eligable adult population and half that=100,000,000.
Half of them vote=50,000,000.
Your figure of 120,000,000 is 60% of adult eligable voters.
Go to a bar this Friday and take a survey on your own of patrons and see how many are eligable, how many are registered, and how many are going to vote. Be ready to be surprised.
President will get elected with 26,000,000 voters.
Your figures:
120,000,000 is 60% of registered voters which gives us
200,000,000 is 100% of registered voters.
US population= 301,139,947 of which 25% are not adults which gives us
225,000,000 adults in USA.So you think that all eligable adult Americans minus 25,000,000 are registered? (there are 25,000,000 felon adults not eligable alone) (not even including illegal aliens and other non eligable parties).
You think that 88.88% of eligable adult Americans are registered to vote? 88.88%???
I doubt that 50.00% of eligable voters are registered.
I take the eligable adult population and half that=100,000,000.
Half of them vote=50,000,000.
Your figure of 120,000,000 is 60% of adult eligable voters.
Go to a bar this Friday and take a survey on your own of patrons and see how many are eligable, how many are registered, and how many are going to vote. Be ready to be surprised.
President will get elected with 26,000,000 voters.
reply posted on 7-10-2008 @ 12:18 AM by GamerGal
reply to post by fmcanarney
Didn't Bush, and Kerry both get more then 50,000,000 votes, or over 100,000,000 votes total? So how does that compare with your idea of 26,000,000 voting for the president. If anything more will vote this year to make sure Obama, and not Bush's 3rd term, gets in office. Also, all you people saying Obama is Socialism, Bush, and McCain, demanded that we do the most socialist thing America has ever done. McCain stopped his campaign to perform socialism that Bush said was needed. Republicans in the Senate demanded socialism. So if you don't want socialism I don't see why you're voting for McCain. Go to Ron Paul he wants to get rid of the IRS and any form of socialism. I know you won't since the GOP hates Ron for being a RINO, Republican In Name Only, since Ron Paul actually cares about AMerica and fights for it.
Didn't Bush, and Kerry both get more then 50,000,000 votes, or over 100,000,000 votes total? So how does that compare with your idea of 26,000,000 voting for the president. If anything more will vote this year to make sure Obama, and not Bush's 3rd term, gets in office. Also, all you people saying Obama is Socialism, Bush, and McCain, demanded that we do the most socialist thing America has ever done. McCain stopped his campaign to perform socialism that Bush said was needed. Republicans in the Senate demanded socialism. So if you don't want socialism I don't see why you're voting for McCain. Go to Ron Paul he wants to get rid of the IRS and any form of socialism. I know you won't since the GOP hates Ron for being a RINO, Republican In Name Only, since Ron Paul actually cares about AMerica and fights for it.
reply posted on 7-10-2008 @ 02:01 AM by Fathom
These polls neve take into acount the bradley effect.
if obama isn't ahead by at least 15% he doesn't have a snowball's chance of winning. remember this so when the msm brags about oby being "ahead" in the polls by 5,6 or even 7 points you can just laugh in their face
it has already been proven with Hillary and Oby:
[edit on 7-10-2008 by Fathom]
if obama isn't ahead by at least 15% he doesn't have a snowball's chance of winning. remember this so when the msm brags about oby being "ahead" in the polls by 5,6 or even 7 points you can just laugh in their face
it has already been proven with Hillary and Oby:
But early evening Tuesday briefings on exit polls, the product of nonpartisan technicians, cautioned the listeners not to be carried away by favorable Obama numbers around the country because his actual performance often is overstated by exit polls. (Indeed, contrary to early exit poll signals of an Obama upset in New Jersey, Clinton carried the state comfortably.) No explanation was given for this aberration, but many listeners presumed it was the Bradley Effect. www.realclearpolitics.com...
[edit on 7-10-2008 by Fathom]
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