posted on Oct, 6 2008 @ 09:47 PM
reply to post by COOL HAND
The only thing that worries me is the scenario you stated, salvo launch, in the dozens, to first get through the AEGIS ABM shield and then perhaps to
get a hit on the carrier. One possible way in which they can go about this could be submunitions. We currently have the capability to launch
submunitions that can pick out individuals vehicles on the move, track, lock and detonate all autonomously. They wont sink a carrier that way but they
can stop mission ops. The resulting fallout would essentially limit carrier operation until an assessment of the situation can be made. It is
possible, but as I said before, they have to walk first before attempting to run.
Fortunately for us we a system in place that will only get better at defeating this kind of threat. The Navy might seriously want to think about
installing terminal laser defenses for such a scenario. They are precise enough to hit small mortar shells so they should be able to take care of
small submunitions. At such a close range future AEGIS in combination with IR sensors should have no problem illuminating any warheads.
The problems facing the Chinese in this case are great. First there is an issue of intelligence, finding the carrier in wartime is easier said then
done. Continuously tracking the carrier with the live stream required is even more difficult. China simply does not yet posses the capability to do
this. A CVN can haul if need be, considering a bare minimum of 15 minutes notice a carrier can be anywhere within a 315 mile square area. A unitary
warhead would have too large a CEP, even if terminally guided, against a maneuvering target to be an effective and reliable system. Submunitions can
help in this case but again just like the warhead they must first overcome the technical challenges let alone the defenses and countermeasures that
will be present. It's safe to say that for the near term such a system will not be fielded by the Chinese.
[edit on 6-10-2008 by WestPoint23]