I do not pretend to make a very rigorous and mathematicaly accurate
calculation in what you are about to read. I was just curious enough to make a few (not so) wild estimations regarding the flying seed hypothesis.
To the math heads, please correct me if I am wrong as I am an ex marine biology student.
Now, we have to keep in mind that what we watch in the videos is not an exact retranscription of reality, lens distorsions like the "effet barrilet" just to name one (in french, don't know the exact term in english sorry) can play tricks on us. That is why it is sometimes difficult to estimate trajectories.
Here is a good representation of the "effet de distorsion en barrilet" :
i263.photobucket.com...
And a video (the meteor should go straight) :
s263.photobucket.com...
i263.photobucket.com...
Now, let's see what we got :
Johnny's hand and nails and a seed. Ok, since his nail was almost facing the
camera, I figured it would be the best reference point in terms of measurements since I do not know exactly which kind of seed it is and how big it could be. So I took a semi "wild" guess in estimating the size of the seed :

Now back to the video that was shot by our beloved Johnny on Aug 15th @
03:15 pm :

Our thing is flying from right to left, everyone can notice that it does get
smaller in size as it travels down the screen. Sorry you guys, I had to use the metric system. It doesn't seem to follow a straight line which is not a problem for a seed blown by the wind or an insect but remember what I said earlier about distorsions. And since I am not an optical & image expert, I do not know if it is due to distorsion or not. (I do not think so)
Now let's name the avg size of our object on the screen X4.
X4 = 9 mm
so
ab (216 mm) / X4 = 24
24 * a'b' = 1296 mm or 1.296 m or 51.0236 inch or 4.252 feet
1.2960 / 2 = 0.648 m (per sec)
0.648 * 3600 = 2.33 km/h or 1.45 mph
Our object would be traveling at approximatively 1.5 mph without taking an error margin but even if you mulitplicate by 2 or more, you would still remain within the flying domain of these seeds
More seriously, if someone can calculate the distance separating the seed (if it's one) from the camera + defining the blurfo zone to see if it matches would be a good thing. And it would most definitly put the final nail on the coffin of this capture to proceed to the next one.
Cheers,
Europa aka Buck
[edit on 7-10-2008 by Europa733]


) And
honestly...comparing this preliminary examination with random youtube videos? wow, that's a slap in the face to johnny and co. I guess what I'm
really trying to say from my opinion: If you think you can do better on a preliminary investigation(instead of armchair investigation) go do it! show
us how it's done! otherwise,take what we have here for what it's worth, preliminary evidence that there might be something to what is supposedly
going on up there, and that hopefully there's enough evidence of strangeness to warrant a further indepth investigation next season to expand on
what's been captured so far. the gall some people have being so rude to those who actually go out there and do the researching is just unbelievable
sometimes.
: 


