Yeah there is bias in December for certain predictions. Maybe its Santa Claus, or sales forecasts for Christmas, or maybe its Jesus?? who knows why
bit. Same sentiment applied to other Holidays because people get off work, mood is high... predictable high sentiment effects the economy the
biggest.
Example.. Notice around Superbowl, the stores stock up on beer, chips, dip, etc No coincidence.. It is statistically significant. Much the same way
911 was and will always be significant. "We will Never Forget".
It occurs in the media as well. Sentiment is more humans, but I do not discount the notion of machine bias. It boils down to the chips being made of
silicon which is of a certain atomic weight and the bias that is inherent in random number generation. That is the extent of machine bias, but it is
significant enough to yield results. The deal is, nobody is volunteering their trade secrets about how they derive their predictions. People make
market predictions and cheat casinos, etc.. so they keep it close to their chest.
Also, lastly.. Note that October 3rd will be significant this year because of this movie
Religulous
(my new avatar).. Release dates. etc by media and Hollywood are planned out.
There was some artist that did something similar with a
Black American Flag with a
date on it... (I cant remember the artist, but the symbolism is the impact) Everything is carefully planned to associate symbols to numbers.
[edit on 23-9-2008 by mapsurfer_]