It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by Fathom
this is completely irresponsible reporting!
Originally posted by Benevolent Heretic
The other side of this concern is that there is a number of Republicans who will vocally support McCain until the election, but secretly vote for Obama. And they will be even more secrecy on that side. If there's anything worse than being racist, it's deserting the GOP.
Originally posted by mental modulator
FROM 538... THESE guys are the statistical nerds - a different take on things.
4. One should be very careful not to confuse a study like this with the Bradley Effect. Of course some people are racist, and will vote against Obama because he is black -- I have met some of them. But the Bradley Effect concerns something different -- whether such people are likely to lie about their behavior to pollsters. There is simply no empirical evidence that the Bradley Effect exists any longer. It did not exist in the primaries, and it did not exist in the 2006 Senate race in Tennessee, which was perhaps the most racially-tinged contest of the past decade (in fact, Harold Ford slightly outperformed the late polls).
www.fivethirtyeight.com...
But the way Obama lost California raises the specter of the dreaded Bradley Effect.
In California's primary last Tuesday, Obama lost by a landslide 10 percentage points after a late survey showed him ahead by 13 points and other polls gave him a smaller lead.
Originally posted by Sublime620
reply to post by mopusvindictus
I must disagree with that.
Polling, while not perfect, does have science to it. They do take samples from those areas and they are accounted for.
Trust me, people get paid a lot of money to account for issues like that.
Originally posted by Blueracer
People can be ignorant. But they have a right to be. Some people hold color against white people too.
Originally posted by EarthCitizen07
If hillary was running against McCain we would be up 10-15 points by now. The fact Obama is already trailing by a point proves racism is alive and well.
Originally posted by centurion1211
And I'm sure these same people would be complaining about "gender issues" if it was Hillary instead of Obama. Wait, that would be hypocritical, though, since the Republicans also have a woman on the ticket!
Originally posted by RRconservative
The funny thing is race is only brought up by Democrats and Obama himself. Republicans never talk about it.
Originally posted by centurion1211
Originally posted by EarthCitizen07
If hillary was running against McCain we would be up 10-15 points by now. The fact Obama is already trailing by a point proves racism is alive and well.
No, it only proves that democrats will use racism as an excuse for losing (this time) when their real problem has always been the candidates they choose. Gore and Kerry and Obama, oh my!
And I'm sure these same people would be complaining about "gender issues" if it was Hillary instead of Obama. Wait, that would be hypocritical, though, since the Republicans also have a woman on the ticket!
[edit on 9/22/2008 by centurion1211]
Originally posted by EarthCitizen07
Yet Obama is on the verge of losing simply because of racial issues.
Trust me in that I dislike hillary more than McCain on a personal basis after her poor conduct in the primaries but that doesn't change the fact that she is/was more capable of getting the vote in.
Originally posted by centurion1211
Originally posted by EarthCitizen07
Yet Obama is on the verge of losing simply because of racial issues.
There is no proof of this too often made, but still unproven claim. The best you can come up with are some polls, but dems say they don't believe the polls that don't agree with their positions, so what does that tell you. One term for this is called "cherry picking". Or is just a case of already working on who to blame when Obama loses? That shows a lot of faith in your candidates.
Originally posted by centurion1211
Originally posted by EarthCitizen07
Trust me in that I dislike hillary more than McCain on a personal basis after her poor conduct in the primaries but that doesn't change the fact that she is/was more capable of getting the vote in.
So, you are saying getting the vote out for a candidate you don't like is better than having one you say you like better win?
Originally posted by Benevolent Heretic
Originally posted by RRconservative
The funny thing is race is only brought up by Democrats and Obama himself. Republicans never talk about it.
Um... I call BS.
Did a democrat start this thread?
And what about these?
www.abovetopsecret.com...
www.abovetopsecret.com...
www.abovetopsecret.com...