I look at this site because it has so many polls. Looks like McCain is up by 2.5 overall...
I still think it's too early to tell and I'm not sure if the polls will be accurate this year because from what I have read, there are a lot of new,
young people who have registered to vote. I'm not sure all demographics are being covered with the polls. I have never put much weight into them.
In 2004, the gallup poll had Kerry and Bush tied at 49%. The election results were 48% for Kerry and 51% for Bush. So, 3-5 % in the polls is simply
meaningless in my opinion.
But, do I think McCain is going to win? Yeah. I think he will.