reply to post by somethingoriginal???
Hi there! I'm sorry we're "meeting" on such crummy terms. I lurked here at ATS for quite a long time before joining too; I hope you'll find
enough to keep you around and posting after Ike is long gone!
I'm hoping for the best for you & your family. The way Ike's been behaving, I wouldn't call Corpus out of danger, but at least right now it looks
like the city will be spared a direct eyewall hit.
Please understand that Ike's hurricane force winds extend 115 miles from the center and tropical storm winds extend 230 miles. These numbers can
very well grow even larger over the next ~48 hours before landfall. You did exactly the right thing by going to get your little boy, and while your
husband may experience strong winds, he should be safe enough in the hospital. Just make sure he knows not to spend any time in the travel trailer
during the storm, even if it hits 100 miles away!!
On to Ike himself. Seriously, I don't think anyone quite knows what to make of this storm. He's been carrying concentric eyewalls all day long and
is most likely still carrying them. I say "most likely" because, while sat images show both eyewalls, recon flights haven't officially documented
them on their most recent runs.
Sustained winds are still in the 100mph range (supported by recon - 105mph), pressure has been hovering in the mid 945s.
He's liking something in the waters right now as he's been firing up some massive convection over the last couple hours. There is some thought that
Ike has been undergoing a massive EWRC for the past 10 hours or so. With an outer eyewall of 100 miles and a wee tiny inner eyewall of ~8, this is a
process that can take some time. Admittedly there isn't much precedence for an Atlantic storm carrying a 100 mile eyewall so there's a lot of
"educated guesswork" going on here. This is some Pacific typhoon stuff, I tell you what.
Ike is coming into the reach of some buoys. The nearest one
showing 22' waves....and Ike is still 200 miles away.
Let that serve as a reminder that no matter what the current wind speed is, Ike is a
massive storm pushing a massive amount of water and will cause a whole lot of damage when he finally makes it to land.
5am update is due soon and I don't expect any major changes. 11am may be a different story.